Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 6/4/24

Cleveland Guardians (39-20) vs Kansas City Royals (36-25)

Game Info: Tuesday, June 4, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Triston McKenzie (2-3) (3.77) vs Seth Lugo (9-1) (1.84)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -120 / Kansas City Royals +100 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 4th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Royals recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Kansas City
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Kansas City and Cleveland
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Kansas City and Cleveland

Royals Try to Build Off of Sunday’s Win 

The Kansas City Royals are 36-25 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Kansas City is coming off of a series loss against San Diego, where they lost two out of three games, but did have a ninth inning comeback win on Sunday. Prior to that series, the Royals lost three out of four against the Twins, won two out of three against the Rays, and swept the Tigers in three games. Kansas City has struggled over the last week, but they are still second in the AL Central behind Cleveland. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has 3.57 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 297 runs with a .252 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .313 with nine home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has allowed at least four runs in seven of their last nine games. 

Guardians are Rolling at Home 

The Cleveland Guardians are 39-20 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Cleveland is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Rockies, swept the Angels in three games, and swept the Mets in three games. Cleveland is 15-4 in their last 19 games and they are leading the AL Central by four games. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 298 runs with a .238 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .272 with 16 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored at least four runs in nine of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 9-1 with a 1.72 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 78.1 innings pitched this year. Lugo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Triston McKenzie, who is 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 57.1 innings pitched this season. McKenzie has allowed one earned run in three of his last five starts, but has allowed seven earned runs and 11 hits in his last two outings (10.0 IP). 

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

The Royals have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a home win.The Guardians have lost each of their last three Tuesday games as favorites against AL Central opponents.The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a home win.The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents.The Royals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the Guardians' last five games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Three of the Royals' last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

These two teams come into this series at the top of the AL Central standings, but Cleveland has a four game lead over the Royals currently. Cleveland has been outstanding at home this year, as they are 20-7, while KC is just 14-15 on the road. The Royals will have Seth Lugo on the mound, who has been one of the best starting pitchers in the MLB so far this year. Cleveland is going with McKenzie, who has been inconsistent and hasn’t been great recently. I know Cleveland is very good at home, but getting this Royals lineup + Lugo at this price is something I can’t pass. My Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Royals to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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