Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 6/4/24

Boston Red Sox (30-30) vs Atlanta Braves (33-24)

Game Info: Tuesday, June 4, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Kutter Crawford (2-4) (3.29) vs Max Fried (5-2) (2.97)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox +127 / Atlanta Braves -152 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB game 1 action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 33-24 on the year after wins over the Nationals and Athletics. The Atlanta Braves have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Atlanta Braves have split their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 66 hits and 53 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 111 hits and 44 RBI.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox look to get above a .500 record after wins over the Orioles and Tigers. The Boston Red Sox have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 64 hits and 24 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have combined for 101 hits and 48 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Max Fried gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. Fried has allowed 23 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 35.1 innings. Fried has a 2.63 ERA and .144 allowed batting average in 41 road innings. This will be Fried’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Kutter Crawford gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Crawford has allowed 33 hits and 20 runs in his last 35 innings. Crawford has a 3.97 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 34 home innings. This will be Crawford’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last five night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last five night games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox's last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler O'Neill has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox's last three games as home underdogs.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox's last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents at Fenway Park.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents at Fenway Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Adam Duvall has hit at least one home run in two of his three previous appearances with the Braves as road favorites against the Red Sox.
  • Sean Murphy has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in seven of his last nine appearances with the Braves as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Max Fried has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances against the Red Sox after not playing the previous day.
  • Travis d'Arnaud has recorded a Double in each of the Braves' last three games as road favorites.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Travis d'Arnaud has recorded at least one Single in each of his six previous road appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Travis d'Arnaud has scored at least one run in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Red Sox after not playing the previous day.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (154).
  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 27th in the league for steals this season (29).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 5th in the league for walks allowed this season (167).

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I considered the plus money with the Boston Red Sox at home, especially with the Braves being hit or miss offensively, and Kutter Crawford is better than what he's shown this season. With that said, Crawford is coming off a rough month of May and that's not what you want to see when going up against a talented Braves lineup. Max Fried has also been great this season, and he's done some of his best work on the road. The price is more than fair. Give me the Braves to steal game 1 against the Red Sox.

Randy’s Pick Atlanta Braves -152

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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