Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 6/1/24

Houston Astros (25-32) vs Minnesota Twins (31-25)

Game Info: Saturday, June 1, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Framber Valdez (3-3) (4.34) vs Joe Ryan (4-3) (3.09)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -125 / Minnesota Twins +115 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 32-25 on the year after wins over the Rangers and Royals. The Minnesota Twins have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 51 hits and 16 RBI, while Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have combined for 82 hits and 59 RBI.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 25-33 on the year after losses to the Twins and Mariners. The Houston Astros have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Houston Astros have lost 7 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 69 hits and 20 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 127 hits and 43 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 4-3 with a 2.96 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. Ryan has allowed 23 hits and 9 runs in his last 32.1 innings. Ryan has a 1.44 ERA and .207 allowed batting average in 31.1 road innings. Ryan is 1-2 with a 8.36 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 3-3 with a 4.34 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 33 hits and 18 runs in his last 30.1 innings. Valdez has a 4.85 ERA and .291 allowed batting average in 29.2 home innings. Valdez is 3-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Twins and Astros.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins' last six games.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at Minute Maid Park.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of the Astros' last four games against AL opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Astros' last nine day games.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Astros as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 11 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.575) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in eight of the Twins' last nine road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in five of his last six road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Double in four of the Twins' last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
  • The Houston Astros rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (223).
  • The Minnesota Twins are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (105).

Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction

The Houston Astros continue to underachieve, and they're just not a team I'm looking to back at these price points. Framber Valdez has also been shaky this season and not as good as he's been in years past. Joe Ryan has been one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball, with an ERA under 3. The Twins at an underdog price has serious value against an Astros team that's had issues stringing together success. Give me the Twins and the more favorable price.

Randy’s Pick Minnesota Twins +115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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