Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 6/1/24

Cubs Continue to Slide Down Standings

The Chicago Cubs are 28-30 this year and they have lost eight of their last nine games. Chicago took the loss in game one of this series, as they blew a lead late in the game. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost three out of four against the Brewers, lost both games against the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Braves. Chicago is just 4-13 in their last 17 games and they are third in the NL Central, but the Pirates are right behind them in fourth. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 248 runs with a .228 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Christopher Morel is batting .200 with 10 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has allowed at least four runs in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati Hunter Greene, who is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 64.2 innings pitched this season. Greene has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Justin Steele, who is 0-2 with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 32.1 innings pitched this year. Steele has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last four starts, but did throw 7.0 scoreless innings in his last outing. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Reds have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a road win.The Cubs have won seven of their last eight night games at Wrigley Field following a loss.The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a road win.The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last five night games following a loss.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Cubs have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 15 games as favorites against National League opponents.The Reds have covered the run line each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Reds' last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Cubs' last four games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last seven games at Wrigley Field.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last three road games.

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

Chicago comes into this game with a 15-12 record at home this season, but they have been one of the worst teams in baseball over the last month. The Cubs pitching staff has not been very good, but they are hoping Steele can build off of his last outing. Cincinnati is 11-15 on the road and they are seven games below .500, but they are building some momentum. The Reds are going with Hunter Greene, who has been great over the last few weeks. This should be a pretty good pitching matchup and I think runs are going to be at a premium. My Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for this game to go under the total.