Washington Nationals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 5/31/24

Cleveland Guardians (37-19) vs Washington Nationals (26-29)

Game Info: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Tanner Bibee (3-1) (3.99) vs Patrick Corbin (1-5) (6.12)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -215 / Washington Nationals +180 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 31st at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Nationals recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Washington and Cleveland
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Washington and Cleveland

Nationals are Warming Up 

The Washington Nationals are 26-29 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. Washington is coming off of a series win against the Braves, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Mariners, lost two out of three against the Twins, and were swept by the Phillies in three games. Washington is just three games below .500, but they are 12 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 222 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .254 with nine home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington is 11th in team ERA this year and they have allowed two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Guardians Continue to Lead AL Central 

The Cleveland Guardians are 37-19 this season and they have won 10 of their last 12 games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss against Colorado, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Guardians swept the Angels in three games, swept the Mets in three games, and swept the Twins in three games. Cleveland is 13-3 in their last 16 games and they are leading the AL Central over the Royals

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 286 runs with a .239 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .271 with 16 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland is top five in the MLB in runs scored and they have scored at least four runs in eight straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Patrick Corbin, who is 1-5 with a 6.12 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 60.1 innings pitched this season. Corbin has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, but did allow eight earned runs and nine hits against Minnesota two starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 3-1 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 58.2 innings pitched this year. Bibee has allowed a total of four earned runs in his last three starts (18.1 IP). 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

The Nationals have lost each of their last nine games against American League opponents following a road win.The Guardians have won each of their last seven home games.The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road loss.The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games against American League opponents following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

Four of the Nationals' last five road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Four of the Guardians' last five night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last three games.

Washington Nationals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this series with one of the better records in the MLB and they are leading the AL Central, but they just lost a series in Colorado. The Guardians do play their best baseball at home, as they are 18-6 at home, while Washington is 16-16 on the road. The Nationals are playing their best ball of the season right now and their pitching staff has been much better than anticipated. With that being said, the Nationals are starting Patrick Corbin tonight, who I cannot back. My Washington Nationals vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Guardians to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Guardians -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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