Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 5/31/24

Houston Astros (24-32) vs Minnesota Twins (31-25)

Game Info: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Ronel Blanco (5-0) (1.99) vs Pablo Lopez (4-5) (5.25)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros +101 / Minnesota Twins -119 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins and the Houston Astros square off Friday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Pablo Lopez for the start here and Lopez is 4-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. This will be Lopez’s second career start against Houston. Ronel Blanco will get the start for Houston here and is 5-0 with a 1.99 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. This will be Blanco’s first career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to build on their current series win streak after beating the Royals on Thursday by a final score of 7-6, posting a series win in the four-game set against Kansas City to follow up series wins over the Rangers and Nationals in the last week and a half.

Twins Starting To Heat Up At The Dish

Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 50 hits including 12 doubles and 3 triples as well as 16 RBIs and 7 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 12 home runs, 36 RBIs and 13 doubles with a .254 batting average and .342 OBP. Carlos Santana has 7 home runs with 22 RBIs while Edouard Julien also has 7 home runs, 17 RBIs and 6 stolen bases but also has a team-high 64 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won each of their last 12 night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games following a win.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros will be out to build some momentum after salvaging a 4-0 win in Thursday’s series finale against the Seattle Mariners, but a loss in the four-game series meant the Astros wouldn’t be able to build on their series win over the Oakland A’s from last weekend.

Astros Having Consistency Issues Again

Jose Altuve has 68 hits and a .292 batting average with 9 home runs, 20 RBIs and 11 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 18 homers with 11 doubles and 39 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 9 homers with 22 RBIs while Tucker has the Astros’ team lead with 9 stolen bases so far this season. Jeremy Pena also has 67 hits and a .302 batting average as well this season.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Twins have lost each of their last four games against the Astros following a win.
  • The Astros have won each of their last six Friday night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Astros following a home win.
  • The Astros have covered the run line each of their last eight Friday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the Astros here. I must admit I was impressed with how Blanco pitched in his return from the suspension for getting caught with the sticky stuff and now gets a matchup against a Twins team that’s playing some solid baseball, but Pablo Lopez has not looked like the same Pablo Lopez that was solid for much of last season. He was strong on the road last year, but this year, has an ERA of 6.00 on the road and even has a 4.64 ERA at home, so he hasn’t really pitched well anywhere this season. The Astros are still a better team on paper than what they’ve shown, and I think they bounce back and draw first blood in this series. Give me Houston.

Chris’s Pick Houston +101

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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