Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/31/24

Boston Red Sox (28-28) vs Detroit Tigers (27-28)

Game Info: Friday, May 31, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Tanner Houck (4-5) (1.90) vs Kenta Maeda (2-1) (5.80)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -130 / Detroit Tigers +120 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 31st at Fenway Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Tigers recent form and recent player performance 

-The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit vs Boston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Tigers and Red Sox. 

Tigers Leaned on Good Pitching

The Tigers leaned on good pitching on Thursday and that was the difference. The Tigers scored five runs and even better was the pitching that gave up zero runs. Jack Flaherty went 6.1 innings giving up one hit and zero runs. The Tigers are averaging 4.27 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.27 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 14th. As a team they are batting .235 which is 19th in the league. Kerry Carpenter has hit eight home runs and driven in 29 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Tigers will be Kenta Maeda who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 5.80. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went five innings giving up four hits and zero runs. 

Why Tigers Will Win

  • The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have won each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Red Sox's last 12 games at Fenway Park.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Friday night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Red Sox Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Red Sox failed to score any runs on Thursday and that led to the defeat. Chris Martin had some issues out of the bullpen and he went only one inning giving up four hits and three earned runs. The Red Sox are averaging 4.36 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.93 runs per game. The offense is ranked 13th in the league while the pitching is ranked 8th. They do have a run differential of 0.43 which is 9th. Rafael Devers has hit 10 home runs and driven in 26 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Tanner Houck who sits with a 4-5 record and an ERA of 1.90. In his last start against the Milwaukee Brewers, he went six innings giving up seven hits and one run. 

Why Red Sox Will Win

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last five games at Fenway Park following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won each of their last four games against the Tigers following a home loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Tigers following a home loss.

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Houck comes into this game with a 4-5 record overall but he does have a low ERA of 1.90 and in his last start he gave up one run. Maeda has been inconsistent this season and even though he’s coming off a staring start, he sits with an ERA of 5.80. The Red Sox’s offense is going to have no issue running up the score and that is going to be the difference here. Back the Red Sox on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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