Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction MLB Picks 5/30/24

Seattle Mariners (30-26) vs Houston Astros (24-31)

Game Info: Thursday, May 30, 2024 at 4:10 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Logan Gilbert (3-2) (3.06) vs Spencer Arrighetti (2-5) (6.93)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -133 / Houston Astros +113 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners meet Thursday in MLB game 4 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 24-32 on the season and play the Twins and Cardinals next. The Houston Astros have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Houston Astros have lost 6 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 66 hits and 20 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 122 hits and 43 RBI.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners have won 4 straight games and play the Angels and Athletics next. The Seattle Mariners have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 61 hits and 21 RBI, while Ty France and Josh Rojas have combined for 86 hits and 31 RBI.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Spencer Arrighetti gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. Arrighetti has allowed 29 hits and 16 runs in his last 27 innings. Arrighetti has a 10.26 ERA and .360 allowed batting average in 16.2 road innings. This will be Arrighetti’s first career game against the Seattle Mariners.

Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has allowed 26 hits and 15 runs in his last 30.2 innings. Gilbert has a 2.36 ERA and .165 allowed batting average in 26.2 home innings. Gilbert is 5-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have lost five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners' last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Mitch Garver has scored a run in each of his four previous appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mariners' last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at T-Mobile Park.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mariners' last six games at T-Mobile Park.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last seven games at T-Mobile Park.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has hit at least one home run in six of the Astros' last eight day games.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Thursday appearances with the Astros as underdogs.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Astros' last nine road games.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros' last seven games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.593) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (135).
  • The Seattle Mariners are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Houston Astros rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (216).
  • The Houston Astros rank 4th in the league for hits this season (499).

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Houston Astros continue to underachieve, and now they're throwing out Spencer Arrighetti, who has been rough this season and a disaster on the road. The Seattle Mariners are enjoying a great week and Logan Gilbert has pitched his best at home, where he has a 2.36 ERA and .165 allowed batting average. The Seattle Mariners and the cheap price at home feels like a steal on Thursday afternoon. Give me the Mariners for the sweep. 

Randy’s Pick Seattle Mariners -133

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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