Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 5/29/24

San Diego Padres (30-28) vs Miami Marlins (19-37)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 29, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)

Yu Darvish (4-2) (3.04) vs Braxton Garrett (1-0) (5.30)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -170 / Miami Marlins +145 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 29th at Petco Park in San Diego, California. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Marlins recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Padres recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Miami and San Diego
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Miami and San Diego

Marlins Need More Offense 

The Miami Marlins are 19-37 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Miami has dropped the first two games in this series and they have scored a grand total of one run in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against Arizona, won two out of three against Milwaukee, and won two out of three against the Mets. Miami is 8-5 in their last 13 games, but they continue to be last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 202 runs with a .232 batting average and a .287 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .253 with nine home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami is 29th in the MLB in runs scored and they have scored three runs or fewer in six straight games. 

Padres Chasing the Dodgers

The San Diego Padres are 30-28 this season and they have won three games in a row. San Diego has won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 4-0. Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Yankees, won two out of three against the Reds, and won three out of four against the Braves. San Diego is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are second in the NL West, just 5.5 games behind the Dodgers. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 254 runs with a .255 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Jurickson Profar is batting .323 with eight home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego is eighth in the MLB in runs scored and they have scored at least four runs in six of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 1-0 with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 18.2 innings pitched this season. Garrett allowed 11 earned runs in his first two starts this year (9.2 IP), but threw nine shutout innings against Arizona last time out. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who is 4-2 with a 3.04 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 53.1 innings pitched this year. Darvish has allowed 0 earned runs in four of his last five outings, but he did allow seven earned runs and nine hits against the Yankees in his last start. 

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Yu Darvish has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.Donovan Solano has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Marlins.Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents at Petco Park.Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games.Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.Luis Arraez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances in day games.Manny Machado has hit at least one home run in five of the Padres' last 14 games as favorites against NL East opponents.Yu Darvish has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.Ha-Seong Kim has scored a run in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Bryan De La Cruz has scored a run in five of the Marlins' last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.Braxton Garrett has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL West opponents.Bryan De La Cruz has recorded an RBI in three of the Marlins' last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins' last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.Tim Anderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Wednesday day appearances with his team as an underdog.Josh Bell has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins' last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.Tim Anderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 Wednesday day appearances with his team as an underdog.Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Marlins' last seven day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this game playing better over the last couple of weeks, but Miami has the second worst offense according to runs scored in the MLB. The Marlins are just 9-18 on the road and they have scored one run so far in the series. It doesn’t get any easier for Miami here, as they have to face Yu Darvish, who has been excellent in most of his starts this year. Braxton Garrett pitched a gem against the Diamondbacks in his last start, but I don’t see the Miami offense having much success here. My Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres prediction is for the Padres to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Padres -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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