Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 5/29/24

Minnesota Twins (29-24) vs Kansas City Royals (34-21)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 29, 2024 at 7:40 pm (Target Field)

Bailey Ober (5-2) (4.33) vs Seth Lugo (8-1) (1.87)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -116 / Kansas City Royals -101 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Kansas City Royals recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Kansas City Royals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Royals and Twins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Royals vs Twins game

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Royals played the Tampa Bay Rays in their weekend series. Kansas City won the first pair in that set 8-1 and 7-4 before a 4-1 loss in the finale. On Monday versus the Twins, KC lost again 6-5. In game two the Royals could only muster five hits in a 4-2 loss. Starting pitcher Cole Ragans lasted 5.0 innings with three earned on nine hits and one walk.

In the starter slot for the Wednesday game the Royals are going with Seth Lugo. Over his 11 starts this year Lugo is 8-1 with a 1.74 ERA and 61 Ks in 72.1 innings. Lugo is 48-32 with a 3.32 ERA in 312 games (75 starts).

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

Over on the Twins’ side, they beat the Texas Rangers 3-2 Friday and 5-3 on Saturday during their weekend series. Minnesota couldn’t finish off the sweep though, falling 6-2 in the finale. On Tuesday the Twins scored twice in the first inning and never trailed in the win. Simeon Woods Richardson lasted 5.0 innings as starter with two earned, three hits and two walks.

It’ll be Bailey Ober in the starting pitcher role for the Twins on Wednesday. This year so far Ober is 5-2 with a 4.33 ERA in 10 starts. Ober has 54 Ks in 52.0 total frames. In his career Ober is 18-14 with a 3.73 ERA in 67 starts.

Royals vs Twins Injury Notes

Royals SP Kris Bubic (elbow) was transferred to Triple-A Omaha to continue his rehab assignment.

Twins 3B Royce Lewis (quadricep) does not have a clear timeline for his return, but the team will evaluate his progress this week.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Twins' last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Royals' last five games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last five night games at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins' last three home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded six strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against the Royals.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against the Royals at Target Field.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Royals' last nine games as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Hunter Renfroe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded a win in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Royals' last 11 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Seth Lugo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Royals as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Royals' last four games as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded a hit in each of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded an RBI in four of the Royals' last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Seth Lugo ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Twins are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (499).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (393).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (194).

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll try the Royals in this one. Lugo is pitching great right now. Over his last three starts Lugo is 3-0 with just four earned runs in 20.2 combined innings. As for Ober, he had a shaky start versus Cleveland on May 18 (4.0 innings; five earned). In his last start however, Ober came back strong with two earned in 5.0 innings during a victory over Texas.

On Tuesday the Royals had a pretty flat effort on both sides. The offense couldn’t do much outside of the fifth inning and a couple of pitchers had issues. That said, Lugo should set up KC well so I think they’ll be in a good position to win on Wednesday.

Andrew’s Pick Kansas City Royals -101

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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