Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 5/27/24

Atlanta Braves (30-20) vs Washington Nationals (23-28)

Game Info: Monday, May 27, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (3-1) (3.35) vs Mitchell Parker (3-2) (3.32)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -200 / Washington Nationals +170 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 27th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Nationals recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Washington and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Washington and Atlanta

Nationals Look for Road Improvement 

The Washington Nationals are 23-28 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Washington is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Nationals lost two out of three against Minnesota, were swept by Philadelphia, and lost two out of three against the White Sox. Washington is just 2-8 in their last 10 road games and they are third in the NL East behind the Phillies and Braves. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 204 runs with a .226 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .256 with eight home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Nationals this season. Washington has scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eleven games. 

Braves Trying to Get Hot 

The Atlanta Braves are 30-20 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series loss against Pittsburgh, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Cubs, lost three out of four against San Diego, and won two out of three against the Cubs. Atlanta is just 6-8 in their last 14 games and they are second in the NL East behind the Phillies

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 232 runs with a .252 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .311 with 15 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has also scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 3-2 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but has allowed at least five hits in all five. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 51.0 innings pitched this year. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but has allowed four earned runs and nine hits over his last 8.0 innings. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.The Braves have won each of their last six home games following a road win.The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Truist Park following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

Ten of the Braves' last 11 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Nationals' last three day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last seven games at Truist Park.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last six home games.

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this series trailing the Phillies in the NL East by a good margin, but they are 16-8 at home and are looking to get hot. Washington has struggled on the road over the last few weeks and they will turn to Mitchell Parker in this game. Parker has done a very good job of limiting runs, but he will face a very good Atlanta lineup here. The Braves will go with Charlie Morton, who has been very good in recent outings. Atlanta is dealing with some injuries to key players, but I really like how Morton has pitched. My Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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