Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction MLB Picks 5/27/24

San Diego Padres (27-28) vs Miami Marlins (18-35)

Game Info: Monday, May 27, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Petco Park)

Michael King (4-4) (4.28) vs Trevor Rogers (1-6) (6.11)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -175 / Miami Marlins +160 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Petco Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 19-35 on the season after wins over the Brewers and Diamondbacks. The Miami Marlins have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Miami Marlins have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 56 hits and 25 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 97 hits and 53 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres look to get above a .500 record after wins over the Reds and Yankees. The San Diego Padres have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The San Diego Padres have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 60 hits and 32 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 107 hits and 62 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-6 with a 6.11 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Rogers has allowed 26 hits and 16 earned runs in his last 14.1 innings. Rogers has a 6.50 ERA and .303 allowed batting average in 18 road innings. This will be Rogers’ second career game against the San Diego Padres.

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-4 with a 4.28 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. King has allowed 20 hits and 9 runs in his last 25 innings. King has a 5.82 ERA and .217 allowed batting average in 21.2 home innings. This will be King’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last six games at Petco Park against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last five day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five road games after playing the previous day.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has hit at least one home run in two of the Padres' last three home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last 12 games against NL opponents.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has scored at least one run in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in four of the Padres' last five games.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded a Double in three of the Padres' last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres' last 12 games against NL opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Marlins' last eight games against NL West opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last seven road games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in seven of the Marlins' last 17 day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last seven road games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has scored a run in three of the Marlins' last four day games.

Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres are the more talented team, obviously, and should be favored at home. Trevor Rogers has also been a train wreck this season. So, yeah, the line is accurate. However, the Marlins are playing their best ball of the season over the last couple of weeks. Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres continue to underachieve, and their star-studded lineup has been held to 1 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 7 games. Also, let's not act like Michael King has been great this season. In terms of value, the Marlins and a chance to make 1.6 times your money feels like the play. I'm not laying big juice with the Padres. Give me the fish.

Randy’s Pick Miami Marlins +160

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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