Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 5/27/24

Baltimore Orioles (33-18) vs Boston Red Sox (27-26)

Game Info: Monday, May 27, 2024 at 1:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Cole Irvin (4-2) (3.15) vs Cooper Criswell (2-1) (2.86)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -155 / Boston Red Sox +135 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 27th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Baltimore

Red Sox Turning Things Around 

The Boston Red Sox are 27-26 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. Boston is coming off of a series loss against Milwaukee, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox swept the Rays in three games, lost two out of three against St. Louis, and lost three out of four against the Rays. Boston has played better over the last week, but they are just 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East behind the Yankees and Orioles. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.09 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 232 runs with a .243 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .272 with 10 home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston is second in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Orioles Looking for Fifth Straight Win 

The Baltimore Orioles are 33-18 this year and they have won four games in a row. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won all four games by scores of 8-6, 6-4, 5-3, and 4-1. Prior to that series, the Orioles were swept by the Cardinals, won two out of three against the Mariners, and split a two game set with the Blue Jays. Baltimore is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are currently two games behind the Yankees in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .216 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 252 runs with a .242 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .264 with 17 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is seventh in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored 27 runs in their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Cooper Criswell, who is 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this year. Criswell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but has only gone past five innings once in that span. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cole Irvin, who is 4-2 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 45.2 innings pitched this season. Irvin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Red Sox have lost each of their last five road games against AL East opponents following a home win.The Orioles have won each of their last five games against American League opponents.The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents following a home win.The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the last five games between the Red Sox and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.Five of the Red Sox's last six day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three games.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last three games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

These two teams come into this series second and third in the AL East, but Baltimore has a seven game lead over Boston. The Orioles just dominated the White Sox over the weekend and they are 17-10 at home this year. Boston has played better recently, but they did lose two out of three against Milwaukee. Boston has played decently well this season, but Cole Irvin has been lights out as a starting pitcher. My Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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