Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 5/26/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (24-27) vs Miami Marlins (18-34)

Game Info: Sunday, May 26, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Chase Field)

() () vs Ryan Weathers (2-4) (3.49)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -169 / Miami Marlins +144 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Chase Field. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 18-35 on the year and will play the Padres and Rangers after this series. The Miami Marlins have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Miami Marlins have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 54 hits and 25 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 95 hits and 53 RBI.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 25-27 on the year and will play the Rangers and Mets after this series. The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Arizona Diamondbacks have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Ketel Marte leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 58 hits and 27 RBI, while Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 93 hits and 59 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Ryan Weathers gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-4 with a 3.49 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Weathers has allowed 15 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 27 innings. Weathers has a 2.52 ERA and .195 allowed batting average in 35.2 road innings. Weathers is 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Blake Walston gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. Walston will make his second career start after giving up 3 hits and 2 runs in 3.2 innings against the Dodgers 25 days ago. At 22 years old, Walston is expected to eventually be one of the faces of the Diamondbacks starting rotation. This will be Walston’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have won four of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games at Chase Field against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last four games at Chase Field against teams that held a losing record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Walker has recorded an RBI in four of the Diamondbacks' last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks' last seven day games.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one total base in each of the Diamondbacks' last seven day games.
  • Tucker Barnhart has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Pavin Smith has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
  • Alek Thomas has hit a home run in three of his last six home appearances with the Diamondbacks against NL opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in seven of the Marlins' last 16 day games.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Single in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Marlins' last eight Sunday day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last 11 games against NL West opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last 11 games against NL West opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins' last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T27th in the league for steals this season (23).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 27th in the league for hits allowed this season (458).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.352).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.289).

Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I was fully prepared to take the Arizona Diamondbacks in game 3, but this line is a bit too steep. While the Marlins are a joke of a franchise and can't be trusted, let's not act like the Diamondbacks are lighting the world on fire. Also, while Walston is expected to be a frontline starter at some point, he wasn't great in his MLB debut, and it's going to take some time before he really comes into his own. The Marlins have also played their best ball over the last couple of weeks, which includes having 44.4 percent of their season's wins coming in their last 12 games. I'll take a stab with the plus money. 

Randy’s Pick Miami Marlins +144

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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