Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB Picks 5/25/24

Twins Look for Four Straight Wins 

The Minnesota Twins are 27-23 this season and they have won three games in a row. Minnesota won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against Washington, were swept by Cleveland, and were swept by the Yankees. Despite Minnesota’s recent winning streak, they have lost seven of their last ten games and they are third in the AL Central behind Cleveland and Kansas City. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 223 runs with a .233 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Willi Castro is batting .265 with four home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in eight of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Michael Lorenzen, who is 2-3 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 42.1 innings pitched this year. Lorenzen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow six earned runs against Oakland in his last road start. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 4-2 with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this year. Paddack has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow five earned runs against the Yankees in his last home start. 

Why the Texas Rangers will win

The Rangers have won five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a road loss.The Twins have lost four of their last five day games against AL West opponents following a home win.The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rangers at Target Field following a win.The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Rangers and Twins.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Twins' last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.Five of the Rangers' last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last six games at Target Field.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last three day games against AL Central opponents.

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

Texas continues to struggle this season and they are now four games below .500 for the year, while also going 12-15 on the road. The Rangers offense has not been able to produce like last year, despite having plenty of talent. Minnesota is on a three game winning streak, but they have been extremely streaky to start the season. The Twins are 12-11 at home this season and they will start Chris Paddack, who has been pretty good recently. The Rangers are going with Lorenzen, who has been above average to start the year. I really don’t trust either offense, but I do think Lorenzen is better than Paddack. My Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for Texas to get the win.