Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/24/24

Boston Red Sox (26-24) vs Milwaukee Brewers (28-21)

Game Info: Friday, May 24, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Kutter Crawford (2-2) (2.17) vs Bryse Wilson (2-1) (2.79)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -130 / Milwaukee Brewers +110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 24th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Brewers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Milwaukee and Boston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Milwaukee and Boston

Milwaukee Continues to Lead the NL Central 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-21 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series loss against Miami, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Brewers lost two out of three against Houston, won two out of three against Pittsburgh, and won three out of four against St. Louis. Milwaukee is 4-6 in their last 10 games, but they have a two game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 244 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .238 with seven home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee is fifth in runs scored this year and they have scored four runs or more in seven of their last nine games. 

Red Sox Look for Five in a Row

The Boston Red Sox are 26-24 this season and they have won four games in a row. Boston is coming off of a series win against Tampa Bay, where they won all three games by scores of 5-0, 5-2, and 8-5. Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Cardinals, lost three out of four against the Rays, and won two out of three against the Nationals. Boston is currently third in the AL East behind the Yankees and Orioles. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 2.99 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .226 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 225 runs with a .243 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .277 with 10 home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored at least five runs in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Bryse Wilson, who is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this year. Wilson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but has only gone five innings in two of those outings. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 2-2 with a 2.17 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this season. Crawford has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Brewers.The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

Nine of the Red Sox's last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Brewers' last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last four night games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (129).The Boston Red Sox rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (91).The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this game looking for their fifth win in a row, but they are just 10-13 at home this year. The Red Sox offense has really picked up the pace recently, but they will face a very good Bryse Wilson here. Milwaukee is 16-12 on the road this year, but they haven’t played their best over the last few weeks. This should be a very good pitching matchup, but I am going to take Crawford over Wilson, as I trust Crawford to go deeper into the game. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Red Sox to win their fifth game in a row. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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