San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 5/23/24

Cincinnati Reds (20-29) vs San Diego Padres (26-26)

Game Info: Thursday, May 23, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Frankie Montas (2-3) (4.37) vs Matt Waldron (2-5) (5.00)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -110 / San Diego Padres -110 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 23rd at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Padres recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Reds recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and Cincinnati
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and Cincinnati

San Diego Going for Second Straight Series Win 

The San Diego Padres are 26-26 this year and they have won four of their last six games. San Diego lost game one in the series, but they won game two by a score of 7-3 on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Padres won three out of four against Atlanta, were swept by Colorado, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. San Diego is 12-8 in their last 20 games and they are second in the NL West behind the Dodgers. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 236 runs with a .258 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Fernando Tatis is batting .248 with eight home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last six games. 

Cincinnati Searching for Rare Series Win 

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-29 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cincinnati won game one by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday, but they dropped game two on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Reds lost three out of four against the Dodgers, lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and lost two out of three against the Giants. Cincinnati has not won any of their last eight series and they are last in the NL Central behind the Brewers, Cubs, Pirates, and Cardinals. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 200 runs with a .215 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .256 with nine home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored three runs or fewer in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Matt Waldron, who is 2-5 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 45.0 innings pitched this season. Waldron has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts, but did allow 11 earned runs in the previous two outings. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Frankie Montas, who is 2-3 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this year. Montas has allowed seven earned runs and 11 hits over his last 9.2 innings. 

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Padres have lost each of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.The home team has won four of the Reds' last five games.The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the last eight games between the Padres and Reds at Great American Ball Park have gone OVER the total runs line.Six of the Padres' last eight day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Cincinnati comes into this game looking for their first series win in their last nine attempts, and they are just 10-14 at home this year. San Diego has played solid baseball over the last 20 games and they are 16-10 on the road. The Padres have been the much better hitting team in this matchup so far this season, but they have been shutout in two of their last three games. Both of these starting pitchers have been a little inconsistent in recent outings, but I am actually going to give Montas the slight edge. My San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for Cincinnati to pick up the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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