Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 5/23/24

Chicago Cubs (27-23) vs Atlanta Braves (28-18)

Game Info: Thursday, May 23, 2024 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Ben Brown (1-1) (3.57) vs A.J. Smith-Shawver (0-0) (0.00)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs / Atlanta Braves --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 23rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Braves recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Atlanta and Chicago

Atlanta Looks to Continue Offensive Momentum 

The Atlanta Braves are 28-18 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Atlanta lost game one in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 9-2 on Wednesday night. Prior to this series, the Braves lost three out of four against San Diego, won two out of three against the Cubs, and won two out of three against the Mets. Atlanta has one of the better records in the NL, but they are still six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 215 runs with a .252 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .324 with 15 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Chicago Trying to Catch Milwaukee 

The Chicago Cubs are 27-23 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 4-3, but was blown out in game two. Prior to this series, the Cubs lost three out of four against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Pirates. Chicago hasn’t played very well over the last two weeks, but they are only 1.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 218 runs with a .227 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Cody Bellinger is batting .248 with seven home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored three runs or fewer in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is AJ Smith-Shawver, who is making his first appearance of the season for the Braves. Smith-Shawver has a 6.10 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 31 innings in Triple-A this season. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ben Brown, who is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this year. Brown has allowed one earned run over his last 7.2 innings of work. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a home loss.The Braves have lost each of their last four day games against the Cubs following a road win.The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a road win.The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Braves' last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Five of the last six games between the Braves and Cubs have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last five home games.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last five road games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

Chicago comes into this game trying to bounce back after that blowout loss on Wednesday, and they are 15-10 at home this year. Atlanta is 12-10 on the road and they have struggled over the last week. The Braves are going with Smith-Shawver on the mound, who has had plenty of struggles in the minors this season. Chicago’s starter is up in the air currently, so it looks like it could be a bullpen day. I think we are going to see plenty of runs in this game, but I am going to fade Smith-Shawver here. My Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Cubs to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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