San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 5/21/24

Cincinnati Reds (19-28) vs San Diego Padres (25-24)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Andrew Abbott (2-4) (3.06) vs Joe Musgrove (3-3) (6.37)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -105 / San Diego Padres -105 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres and the Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance

• The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Reds

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Reds game

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The Padres just finished up a four-game series versus the Atlanta Braves. San Diego took wins 3-1 Friday and 9-1 in the Saturday game. On Monday in the doubleheader finish, San Diego managed to win game one 6-5. In the nightcap the Padres took a 3-0 loss with seven team hits.

In the starting pitcher role for the Tuesday matchup the Padres will send out Joe Musgrove. So far this year over his eight starts Musgrove is 3-3 with a 6.37 ERA and 36 Ks in 41.0 innings. Musgrove has a career record of 63-60 with a 3.83 ERA in 195 games (169 starts).

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played four games versus the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend. Cincinnati was able to win the first installment of that set 7-2, but then took three straight losses 7-3, 4-0 and 3-2 the rest of the way. In the finale loss, Cincinnati’s Hunter Greene finished with 6.1 innings in the start with two earned on four hits and two walks.

Starter Andrew Abbott will take the mound for the Reds Tuesday. Abbott is 2-4 with a 3.06 ERA in nine starts this year. He’s got 41 Ks in 50.0 innings. Abbott is 10-10 in his MLB career with a 3.62 ERA in 30 starts.

Padres vs Reds Injury Notes

Padres 2B Xander Bogaerts was removed from Monday’s game due to an apparent left shoulder injury.

Reds RP Emilo Pagan left Sunday’s game due to soreness in his right triceps.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the last six games between the Padres and Reds at Great American Ball Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Padres' last five games as favorites against the Reds have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last five road games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Reds' last four night games at Great American Ball Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against the Padres.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Padres.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Padres.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against the Padres.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against the Padres.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 road appearances.
  • Manny Machado has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres' last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joe Musgrove has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of the Padres' last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joe Musgrove has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in two of the Padres' last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Padres as favorites against the Reds.

San Diego Padres vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll try the Reds in this one. Cincinnati should get a solid outing from Abbott. He’s given up just five earned over his last three starts in 17.0 total innings. As for Musgrove, he’s given up nine earned in his last 9.2 innings. Most of that came from seven earned in 3.2 innings versus Philly back on April 26, though.

Cincinnati had a pretty rough weekend versus the Dodgers, including just five runs over their last three games combined. The Reds need to get the bats going Tuesday but Abbott should set them up pretty well initially.

Andrew’s Pick Cincinnati Reds -105

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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