New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 5/21/24

Cleveland Guardians (31-17) vs New York Mets (21-26)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Carlos Carrasco (2-4) (5.16) vs Adrian Houser (0-3) (7.44)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -120 / New York Mets +100 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 21st at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Mets recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Cleveland
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Cleveland

Mets are Struggling

The New York Mets are 21-26 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. New York lost the first game in this series on Monday and only scored one run. Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against Miami, lost three out of four against Philadelphia, and lost two out of three against Atlanta. New York has lost 11 of their last 16 games and they are fourth in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, and Nationals. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 200 runs with a .236 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .235 with 10 home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York is 14th in team ERA and they are 17th in runs scored, but they have allowed at least four runs in nine of their last twelve games. 

Cleveland Goes for Another Series Win 

The Cleveland Guardians are 31-17 this season and they have won four games in a row. Cleveland won game one in this series by a score of 3-1 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Guardians swept the Twins in three games, won two out of three against Texas, and lost three out of four against the White Sox. Cleveland has won seven of their last eight games and they are leading the AL Central by 1.5 games over Kansas City. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.23 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .227 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 231 runs with a .237 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Josh Naylor is batting .253 with 12 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland is fifth in team ERA and they are fifth in runs scored, as they have allowed three runs or fewer in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Adrian Houser, who is 0-3 with a 7.44 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this season. Houser has allowed one earned run in his last four relief innings, but has allowed 18 earned runs in his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-4 with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched this year. Carrasco has allowed there earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, but did allow 13 earned runs in the two starts prior to that. 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

The Guardians have won each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 road games against AL Central opponents.The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Mets.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Guardians' last five games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.Six of the Mets' last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last five night games at Progressive Field.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last four games between the Mets and Guardians at Progressive Field.

New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland rolls into this game playing very good baseball over the last week and they will look for the series win after winning on Monday night. New York continues to struggle and they will turn to Adrian Houser, who has been awful as a starting pitcher this year. Cleveland is going with Carlos Carrasco, who I don’t love, but he has been decent in his last three outings. I love to fade Adrian Houser, so my New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for the Guardians to get the win. 

David’s Pick Guardians ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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