Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 5/21/24

Chicago Cubs (26-22) vs Atlanta Braves (27-17)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 7:40 pm (Wrigley Field)

Javier Assad (4-0) (1.49) vs Charlie Morton (3-1) (3.52)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs +110 / Atlanta Braves -130 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 21st at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Braves recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Cubs recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Atlanta and Chicago 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Atlanta and Chicago 

Braves Looking for Improvement 

The Atlanta Braves are 27-17 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series loss against San Diego, where they lost three out of four games, but did split the double header on Monday. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Cubs, won two out of three against the Mets, and won both games against the Red Sox. Atlanta hasn’t been their normal dominant self this season and they are five games behind Philadelphia in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.44 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 203 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .327 with 14 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta is ninth in team ERA and 16th in runs scored, as they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Cubs Could Use a Series Win 

The Chicago Cubs are 26-22 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Pittsburgh, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against Atlanta, won two out of three against Pittsburgh, and lost two out of three against San Diego. Chicago has lost eight of their last 13 games, but they are still second in the NL Central behind Milwaukee. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 212 runs with a .230 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Michael Busch is batting .245 with seven home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 46.0 innings pitched this year. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 4-0 with a 1.49 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season. Assad has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts, including 6.0 shutout innings against the Braves in his last start. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Cubs have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against the Braves following a loss.The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites.The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Braves following a loss.The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday night home games.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Braves' last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Cubs' last four games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last six games as favorites.The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last three home games.

Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this game struggling over the last few games, but Chicago is 14-9 at home so far this year. The Cubs have actually scored more runs than Atlanta this season, as the Braves have struggled with an injury to Riley. Chicago is starting Javier Assad, who has been very good this season. Atlanta is going with Charlie Morton, who has been mostly good, but has had a few issues. Atlanta is coming off of a double header on Monday against San Diego and I think this is a tough spot for them against a quality pitcher. My Atlanta Braves vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Cubs to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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