San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 5/20/24

Atlanta Braves (26-15) vs San Diego Padres (23-24)

Game Info: Monday, May 20, 2024 at 12:20 pm (Truist Park)

Reynaldo Lopez (2-1) (1.34) vs Dylan Cease (5-3) (2.45)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -118 / San Diego Padres +100 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves meet Monday in a MLB doubleheader at Truist Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres look to get above a .500 record and play the Reds and Yankees after this series. The San Diego Padres have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The San Diego Padres have lost 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 54 hits and 31 RBI, while Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 94 hits and 54 RBI.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 26-16 on the season and play the Cubs, Pirates, and Nationals after this series. The Atlanta Braves have scored 3 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 6 games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 50 hits and 41 RBI, while Michael Harris II and Ronald Acuna Jr. have combined for 81 hits and 26 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Dylan Cease and Randy Vasquez will get the ball today for the San Diego Padres.

Reynaldo Lopez and Chris Sale will get the ball today for the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last four day games against NL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Braves have won five of their last six day games following a loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Monday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in three of the Braves' last six day games.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves' last five games against NL West opponents at Truist Park.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 10 games as favorites.
  • Austin Riley has scored a run in five of his last six appearances with the Braves as favorites.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Braves' last nine games against NL opponents.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one total base in eight of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents at Truist Park.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in three of the Padres' last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres' last five games as road underdogs.
  • Jurickson Profar has scored at least one run in each of the Padres' last five games as road underdogs.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres' last 11 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last 11 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Dylan Cease ranks 5th in the league for total Strikeouts (68) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank T27th in the league for strikeouts this season (358).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank T5th in the league for doubles this season (84).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (425).
  • The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Game 1 Prediction: Both the Padres and Braves have had offensive issues these last several games, and this pitching matchup believes those will continue. Dylan Cease has a 2.45 ERA and 0.78 WHIP on the season, while Reynaldo Lopez has a 1.34 ERA and 1.09 WHIP on the season. Cease has allowed 4 runs in his last 19.1 innings. Lopez has a 0.77 ERA through 23.1 home innings. I expect a low scoring game 1. Give me the under in the first game of this doubleheader.

Game 2 Prediction: Randy Vasquez has been a mess this season, allowing 24 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 15.2 innings. That's not ideal when going up against a Braves' lineup this talented. Chris Sale is looking more and more like the Chris Sale of old with his 2.54 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 61 strikeouts. Against a Padres' lineup that continues to struggle, this favors the home team in game 2. I like the Braves to leave this series with a victory.

Randy’s Pick Game 1 - Under / Game 2 - Atlanta Braves

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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