San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 5/19/24

Atlanta Braves (26-15) vs San Diego Padres (23-24)

Game Info: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Truist Park)

Bryce Elder (1-1) (4.79) vs Yu Darvish (3-1) (2.43)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -116 / San Diego Padres -102 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 19th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Padres recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego and Atlanta 

Padres Win Game One 

The San Diego Padres are 23-24 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. San Diego won game one in this series by a score of 3-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Padres were swept in three games by Colorado, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Cubs. San Diego is just 5-6 in their last 11 games, but they are still second in the NL West behind the Dodgers. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 214 runs with a .255 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jurickson Profar is batting .325 with seven home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Padres this season. San Diego is 18th in team ERA and seventh in runs scored, and they have allowed at least five runs in four of their last six games. 

Atlanta Losing Ground in the NL East

The Atlanta Braves are 26-15 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Atlanta dropped game one in this series on Friday night and only scored one run in the loss. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Cubs, won two out of three against the Mets, and won both games against the Red Sox. Atlanta has won three series in a row, but they are still four games behind the Phillies in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 194 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .325 with 12 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has scored at least four runs in five of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Yu Darvish, who is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this year. Darvish has not allowed an earned run in any of his last three starts (17.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 1-1 with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP over 20.2 innings pitched this year. Elder has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his four starts, but did allow seven earned runs to the Dodgers two starts ago. 

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The underdogs have won each of the Padres' last four games.The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Padres following a loss.The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last 11 games between the Padres and Braves at Truist Park.The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL West opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Braves' last 12 games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.Each of the Padres' last four night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last three games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last three home games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Atlanta Braves rank 5th in the league for doubles this season (82).The Atlanta Braves rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (349).The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

San Diego has struggled over the last two weeks, but they were able to get the win in game one of this series and they will have Yu Darvish on the mound for this game. Darvish has been outstanding in his last three outings, but will face a very good Atlanta lineup here. Atlanta is 15-6 at home this season and they have one of the better team ERA’s in baseball. This should be another very good game, but I am going to lean on Darvish here, as I don’t love the baserunners that Elder is allowing. My San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Padres to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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