Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 5/19/24

Houston Astros (20-25) vs Milwaukee Brewers (26-18)

Game Info: Sunday, May 19, 2024 at 2:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Spencer Arrighetti (1-4) (7.52) vs Colin Rea (3-1) (3.45)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -123 / Milwaukee Brewers +105 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Houston Astros meet Sunday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will start Colin Rea here and Rea is 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Rea’s second career start against Houston. Houston will send out Spencer Arrighetti here and Arrighetti is 1-4 with a 7.52 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Arrighetti’s first career start against Milwaukee.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers will try to win the rubber match after taking game two of the series by a final count of 4-2. The win puts the Brew Crew in position to win another series in a row after knocking off the Cardinals and Pirates in succession over the last week.

Brewers Have Quietly Been Cooking

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 62 hits including 13 doubles and 37 RBIs along with 7 home runs and a .426 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has a team-high 9 home runs with 27 RBIs and Willy Adames has 7 home runs and 29 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 17 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has a team-high 40 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against the Astros.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros will look to bounce back after a frustrating showing in Saturday’s matchup against the Brewers, snapping their six-game win streak as well as putting their series win streak in danger after taking out the A’s and Tigers over the last week.

Astros Were Heating Up But Inconsistencies Linger

Jose Altuve leads the Astros with 57 hits and a .310 batting average with 7 home runs and 10 doubles while Kyle Tucker has a team-high 13 homers with 11 doubles and 29 RBIs. Yordan Alvarez also has 8 homers with 20 RBIs while Altuve has the Astros’ team lead with 7 stolen bases so far this season.

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Brewers have lost each of their last six games at Minute Maid Park following a win.
  • The Astros have won each of their last four games against the Brewers following a home loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against the Astros following a win.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against the Brewers following a loss.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction

I’m on the over here. It’s nothing more than having zero trust in this starting pitching matchup. The Brewers have been one of the better teams against righties in the month of May and Spencer Arrighetti just doesn’t look major league ready in his first stint with the big club. On the other side, I think Colin Rea is due for some regression, and the Astros have been heating up against right-handed pitching over this recent run they’ve been on. I think one is marked for some runs, so give me the over.

Chris’s Pick Over 9

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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