New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 5/18/24

Miami Marlins (13-32) vs New York Mets (20-23)

Game Info: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 4:10 pm (loanDepot park)

Braxton Garrett (0-0) (8.44) vs Luis Severino (2-2) (3.60)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +116 / New York Mets -137 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at loanDepot park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 20-24 on the year after losses to the Braves and Phillies. The New York Mets have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The New York Mets have split their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the Braves with 42 hits and 15 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil have combined for 73 hits and 31 RBI.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 14-32 on the year after losses to the Phillies and Tigers. The Miami Marlins have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Miami Marlins have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 47 hits and 25 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 79 hits and 41 RBI.

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Luis Severino gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 8 hits and 6 runs in his last 10 innings. Severino has a 4.50 ERA and .197 allowed batting average in 16 road innings. This will be Severino’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Braxton Garrett gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-0 with a 8.44 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Garrett will make his second start of the season. Garrett has a 3.94 ERA and 1.27 WHIP for his career through 294.2 innings. Garrett is 0-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last eight day games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven day games against the Mets following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a road loss.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in two of the Marlins' last three home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins' last five home games against NL opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins' last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Braxton Garrett has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
  • Avisail Garcia has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Double in each of the Marlins' last three home games against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Mets as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Severino has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances in day games.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last seven games as favorites.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (58).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.345).
  • The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (31).
  • The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (340).

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The New York Mets simply can't afford to blow games like this if they're serious about competing for a playoff spot. The Miami Marlins aren't a good baseball team despite three straight wins, and they're heading toward a fire sale. Braxton Garrett has also had limited reps this season, and he wasn't good in his season debut despite 8 strikeouts. Luis Severino has been sharp up to this point, and he hasn't been easy to hit on the road. The price is more than reasonable given the talent gap in rosters. Give me the Mets and the cheap price on the road.

Randy’s Pick New York Mets -137

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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