Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 5/18/24

Cleveland Guardians (27-17) vs Minnesota Twins (24-19)

Game Info: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 6:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Logan Allen (4-2) (5.56) vs Bailey Ober (4-1) (3.77)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -105 / Minnesota Twins -112 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction for this MLB Game on Saturday, May 18th at Progressive Field. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Twins recent form and recent player performance 

-The Guardians recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Minnesota

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland

-Recent betting trends in games played between Minnesota and Cleveland

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Twins and Guardians. 

Twins Offense is Struggling

The Twins offense is really struggling and on Friday they scored only two runs. Over the last four games the Twins have scored only three runs total. On Friday Jhoan Duran gave up a home run and that led to the loss. The Twins are averaging 4.56 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.233 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league while the pitching is ranked 13th. They are averaging 1.05 home runs per game which is 11th in baseball. Ryan Jeffers is having a huge season hitting 10 home runs and driving in 31 RBIs so far this season. 

Why the Twins Will Win?

  • The Twins have won five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Twins and Guardians.

Ober has Been Strong

Getting the start for the Twins will be Bailey Ober who sits with a 4-1 record and an ERA of 3.77. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went 6.1 innings giving up one hit and zero runs. 

Guardians Bounced Back on Friday

After losing on Wednesday the Guardians' pitching was strong on Friday and that was enough for the victory. Triston McKenzie went 6.2 innings giving up two hits and one run. Jose Ramirez hit a home run in the bottom of the 8th to secure the victory. The Guardians are averaging 4.75 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.66 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th in the league while the pitching is ranked 7th in the league. Josh Naylor is having a strong season hitting 12 home runs and driving in 33 RBIs. In this game the Guardians are going to need to find a way to get the offense going early. The Guardians will meet the Mets after this series.

Why the Guardians Will Win?

  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games at Progressive Field against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have won each of their last four games against the Twins.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a road loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in three of their last four games against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

Bailey Ober has been one of the best Twins pitchers this season and he’s going to continue that success here. Ober in his last start gave up only one hit and zero runs and he’s going to lockdown again in this game. The Guardians are going to struggle to score even two runs here. The Twins are going to score four or five runs, and that will be the difference here. Back the Twins on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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