Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 5/18/24

Houston Astros (19-25) vs Milwaukee Brewers (26-17)

Game Info: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Justin Verlander (2-1) (3.38) vs Bryse Wilson (2-1) (2.65)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -167 / Milwaukee Brewers +141 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

In this article, we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction for this MLB Game on Saturday, May 18th at Minute Maid Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Brewers recent form and recent player performance 

-The Astros recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Milwaukee and Houston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Brewers and Astros. 

Brewers Look to Bounce Back

The Brewers scored four runs on Friday but it wasn’t enough as the pitching gave up five goals on the way to the defeat. Joey Ortiz did hit a home run and drove in three RBIs. The Brewers are averaging 5.19 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.21 runs per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league while the pitching is ranked 12th. They currently have run differential of 0.977 which is 8th in the league. Wily Adames has hit seven home runs and driven in 29 RBIs. Getting the start for the Brewers will be Bryse Wilson who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 2.65. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went four innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Brewers Will Win?

  • The Brewers have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Astros following a loss.
  • The Astros have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Brewers following a win.

Astros Finally Figuring it Out?

The Astros appear like they are finally figuring it out and they have won and they have won six games in a row. The Astros pitching has been really good heading into this game and they are going to need the pitching to really step up here. The Astros are averaging 4.55 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.77 runs per game. The offense is ranked 13th in the league while the pitching is ranked 23rd. They do have a team batting average of .261 which is 1st in the league. Kyle Tucker has hit 13 home runs and driven in 29 RBIs. Getting the start for the Astros will be Justin Verlander who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 3.38. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers, he went seven innings giving up two hits and zero runs.

Why the Astros Will Win?

  • The Astros have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Houston Astros Prediction

Verlander in his last start gave up only two hits and zero runs and he’s going to really step up again here. The Brewers are going to really struggle in this game, and that is going to be the difference here. Bryse Wilson has also been strong this season sitting with an ERA of 2.65 and he’s going to really step up in this game. These teams are both going to struggle to score and the under is going to cash. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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