Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

Philadelphia Phillies (31-13) vs Washington Nationals (20-22)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Zack Wheeler (4-3) (2.53) vs Jake Irvin (2-3) (3.55)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -286 / Washington Nationals +235 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Washington Nationals recent form and player performance

• The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Nationals

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Nationals and Phillies

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Nationals vs Phillies game

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Nationals had some trouble with the Chicago White Sox in a three-game series this week. Washington won the opener of that set 6-3, but then took losses in the next pair by a combined 6-0 score. In the 2-0 defeat on Thursday, Washington’s Patrick Corbin gave up both earned runs on six hits and two walks in 5.2 innings.

For the starter gig in the Friday opener the Nationals will send out Jake Irvin. This year over eight starts Irvin is 2-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 36 Ks in 45.2 innings. Irvin has a career record of 5-10 with a 4.32 ERA in 32 starts.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over on the Phillies’ side, they took on the New York Mets in a four-game set for their last series. Philadelphia won the first three installments 5-4, 4-0 and 10-5. In the Thursday finale the Phillies took a tough 6-5 loss in 11 innings. Starting pitcher Taijuan Walker left after 3.1 innings, two earned runs, four hits and two walks.

As starting pitcher for Friday’s opener the Phillies are going with Zack Wheeler. So far this season Wheeler is 4-3 with a 2.53 ERA in nine starts. He’s managed 65 Ks in 53.1 innings. Wheeler has a career record of 91-66 with a 3.41 ERA in 236 starts.

Nationals vs Phillies Injury Notes

Phillies SS Trea Turner (hamstring) participated in fielding and agility drills at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won 12 of their last 13 night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have lost 12 of their last 15 games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies' last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in four of the Phillies' last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Alec Bohm ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.333) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Eddie Rosario has hit a home run in two of the Nationals' last three games as underdogs.
  • Joey Meneses has recorded an RBI in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Garcia has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last six road games against NL East opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Friday night appearances against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Luis Garcia has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals' last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (237).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (226).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (74).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll stick with the Phillies, but the line’s too thick to mess with. Wheeler does need to have a bounce-back start, though. In his last outing on May 12 versus the Marlins, Wheeler coughed up six earned on six hits and three walks in 4.0 innings for a no-decision. Over his two previous starts Wheeler went 2-0 with just one earned in 12.0 innings total, though. Irvin has been pretty good himself lately with just four earned in his last 18.0 frames.

On Thursday the Phillies used a ton of pitchers (seven including Walker) in their 11-inning marathon and didn’t get a victory to show for it. Philadelphia had their chances but the offensive output was just too erratic. I do like them to bounce back on Friday, but you wouldn't be crazy for taking the Nats on a value play. 

Andrew’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies -286

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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