Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

Toronto Blue Jays (19-23) vs Tampa Bay Rays (23-22)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Chris Bassitt (3-5) (5.06) vs () ()

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays / Tampa Bay Rays --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 17th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Rays recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Toronto
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Toronto

Rays Continue to Play Better 

The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-22 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series win against Boston, where they won three out of four games and scored 20 runs in the four games. Prior to that series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Yankees, won two out of three against the White Sox, and swept the Mets. Tampa Bay has won nine of their last 13 games and they are third in the AL East behind the Yankees and Orioles.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 187 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .305 with eight home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay is just 17th in the MLB in runs scored, but they have scored at least four runs in nine of their last eleven games. 

Blue Jays Look to Continue Trend

The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-23 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. If that trend were to continue, Toronto would be due for a win here. Toronto is coming off of a series split with the Orioles, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Twins, split a two game set with the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Nationals. Toronto has lost eight of their last 12 games and they are last in the AL East, 9.5 games behind the Yankees. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 152 runs with a .229 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .275 with four home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 29th in the MLB in runs scored, as they have scored three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 3-5 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this year. Bassitt has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow seven earned runs to the Dodgers three starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Tyler Alexander, who is 1-2 with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this season. Alexander allowed six earned runs and seven hits against the Yankees in his last start. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five home games.
  • The road team has won four of the Rays' last five games.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays' last eight home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays' last eight home games against AL opponents.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 17 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in each of the Blue Jays' last four games against AL opponents.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last eight games at Rogers Centre.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in each of the Rays' last two games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Josh Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (305).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (56).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 26th in the league for hits allowed this season (382).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 6th in the league for strikeouts this season (391).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Neither one of these teams has been great to start this season, but the Rays have definitely played better over the last two weeks. Tampa Bay is one game above .500 and their offense is really starting to wake up. Toronto has struggled to hit the ball this season and they are second to last in runs scored. I don’t love this matchup, but my Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Rays to pick up the road win against this low scoring Jays team. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Monday 7/22/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss