San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

Atlanta Braves (26-14) vs San Diego Padres (22-24)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Max Fried (3-1) (3.57) vs Matt Waldron (1-5) (5.49)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -222 / San Diego Padres +184 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction for this MLB Game on Friday, May 17th at Truist Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Padres recent form and recent player performance 

-The Braves recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta

-Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego and Atlanta.

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Padres and Braves. 

Last Game was Ugly for Padres

It was ugly in their last game for the Padres, and they ended up losing 8-0 to the Colorado Rockies. The Padres only finished with four hits while the pitching gave up 12 runs. Michael King went 5.1 innings giving up eight hits and six runs. Fernando Tatis Jr finished with two hits. The Padres are averaging 4.59 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.5 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 19th. Jake Cronenworth has hit seven home runs and driven in 27 RBIs. Jurickson Profar has hit seven home runs and driven in 27 RBIs. Getting the start for the Padres will be Matt Waldron, who sits with a 1-5 record and an ERA of 5.49. In his last start against the San Diego Padres he went 5.1 innings giving up two hits and two runs. 

Braves Struggled In Last Game

The Braves struggled on Wednesday against the Chicago Cubs and that led to the defeat. The Braves scored one run and that led to the six run defeat. Zack Short did have two hits and one RBI, but that was the only run they scored. Charlie Morton went three innings giving up five hits and three run. The Braves are averaging 4.83 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.633 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th while the pitching is ranked 6th. Marcell Ozuna has hit 12 home runs and driven in 41 RBIs. Getting the start for the Braves will be Max Fried who sits with a 3-1 record and an ERA of 3.57. In his last start against the New York Mets, he went seven innings, giving up zero hits and zero runs. Two starts ago against the Los Angeles Dodgers he went seven innings giving up four hits and four runs. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last seven games at Truist Park following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
  • The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves' last two games at Truist Park against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Travis d'Arnaud has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves' last five games against NL West opponents.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves' last eight games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Marcell Ozuna ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.619) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Padres' last five road games against NL East opponents.
  • Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in six of the Padres' last seven games against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of the Padres' last nine games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres' last nine games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Braves.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of the Padres' last four games as underdogs against the Braves.
  • Jurickson Profar ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.322) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 5th in the league for doubles this season (80).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 5th in the league for batting average this season (.255).
  • The San Diego Padres are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The San Diego Padres rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (396).

San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Max Fried dominated the last game and he’s going to dominate again here. The Padres failed to score any runs in the last game, and he’s going to really struggle again here. The Braves are going to give Fried some run support here, especially early against Waldron, who sits with an ERA of 5.49. The Braves are going to pull away, here, and Atlanta will get the job done. Back the Braves on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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