New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

Miami Marlins (13-32) vs New York Mets (19-23)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:10 pm (loanDepot park)

Jesus Luzardo (0-3) (5.97) vs Christian Scott (0-1) (2.84)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +105 / New York Mets -123 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Mets and Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at loanDepot park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 20-23 on the year after recent losses to the Braves and Phillies. The New York Mets have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. The New York Mets have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the New York Mets with 42 hits and 15 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil have combined for 71 hits and 31 RBI.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 13-32 on the year after recent losses to the Phillies and Tigers. The Miami Marlins have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Miami Marlins have lost 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 46 hits and 24 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 76 hits and 40 RBI.

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Christian Scott gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Scott will make his third career start, and he’s allowed 11 hits and 4 runs through 12.2 innings. Scott has allowed 22 fly balls compared to 11 ground balls. This will be Scott’s first career game against the Miami Marlins.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-3 with a 5.97 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Luzardo has a 5.14 ERA and .224 allowed batting average in 21 home innings. The Marlins are 1-5 this season when Luzardo pitches. Luzardo is 2-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 37 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games against the Mets following a win.
  • The Mets have won four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last 10 games at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last two home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Bethancourt has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against the Mets after not playing the previous day.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Marlins' last four home games against NL opponents.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Mets.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets' last four games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mets' last eight games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored a run in each of the Mets' last five road games.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last six night games.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded a Single in each of the Mets' last six games as favorites.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets' last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (56).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.341).
  • The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (30).
  • The New York Mets rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (331).

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I would've considered the Miami Marlins in this spot, but we're not getting enough plus money to pull the trigger. Jesus Luzardo is better than what he's shown this season, and it's only a matter of time before he gets going. Christian Scott is making just his third career MLB start, and he hasn't been great up to this point. However, the Marlins aren't big enough underdogs to make the juice worth the squeeze. The New York Mets are the better team, and I'll bank on them finding a way to win based on this cheap price point. Give me the Mets.

Randy’s Pick New York Mets -123

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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