Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

Arizona Diamondbacks (21-23) vs Detroit Tigers (21-22)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 9:40 pm (Chase Field)

Ryne Nelson (2-2) (5.33) vs Tarik Skubal (5-0) (2.02)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +125 / Detroit Tigers -145 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 17th at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Tigers recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Diamondbacks recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Arizona 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Arizona 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Arizona 

Tigers Scoring has Been Bad 

The Detroit Tigers are 21-22 this season and they have lost nine of their last 12 games. Detroit is coming off of a series loss against the Marlins, where they lost two out of three games and were shutout in games two and three. Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against Houston, lost two out of three against Cleveland, and were swept by the Yankees. Despite the poor offense, the Tigers started the season with a solid record, but they have dropped to fourth in the AL Central behind the Guardians, Royals, and Twins. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 168 runs with a .225 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .239 with nine home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has had a very good pitching staff to start the season, but the offense has really let them down. The Tigers have scored two runs or fewer in six of their last 12 games. 

Diamondbacks Starting to Play Better 

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 21-23 this year and they have won seven of their last ten games. Arizona is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won two out of three games, despite being out scored 12-10 in the series. Prior to that series win, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against Baltimore, swept the Reds, and lost two out of three against San Diego. Arizona has been inconsistent, especially offensively, so far this season and they are already pretty far back of the Dodgers in the NL West. 

The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 215 runs with a .245 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Ketel Marte is batting .289 with nine home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks this season. Arizona has scored at least four runs in seven of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 5-0 with a 2.02 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this year. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but the Tigers are just 3-2 in those five games. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 2-2 with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 25.1 innings pitched this season. Nelson has allowed seven earned runs and 18 hits over his last two starts against Baltimore and San Diego (9.2 IP). 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last six games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have won each of their last five night games following a home loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games following a win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 road games against NL West opponents following a loss.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Walker has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks' last two home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Christian Walker has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks' last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
  • Ketel Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Randal Grichuk has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Javier Baez has scored a run in each of the Tigers' last six Friday games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded two or more hits in each of the Tigers' last three games against the Diamondbacks.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Gio Urshela has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Diamondbacks.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Javier Baez has recorded a Single in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Zach McKinstry has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
  • Tarik Skubal ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.02) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank T27th in the league for steals this season (19).
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 5th in the league for runs scored this season (215).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (113).
  • The Detroit Tigers rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.297).

Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game looking for some offense, as they have not scored a run in their last two games. The Tigers have absolutely wasted some great pitching to start the season, as their offense is one of the worst in the MLB. Arizona has been slightly inconsistent on offense, but they can put up runs in a hurry with that lineup. Nelson will be starting for Arizona, but has been rocked in his last two outings. Skubal is going for Detroit, who is very good, but can the offense give him support? I am going to take a chance with the Tigers offense in this game, as I really think Skubal is a top pitcher in the AL. My Detroit Tigers vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction is for the Tigers to win game one of the series. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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