Cincinnati Reds vs LA Dodgers Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

LA Dodgers (29-16) vs Cincinnati Reds (18-25)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

James Paxton (5-0) (2.58) vs Frankie Montas (2-3) (4.20)

Betting Odds: LA Dodgers -189 / Cincinnati Reds +159 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Friday in MLB action from Dodger Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs LA Dodgers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will send out Frankie Montas for the start here and Montas is 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montas is 0-2 with a 16.20 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Dodgers. The Dodgers will trot out James Paxton for the start here and is 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Paxton’s second career start against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds will be looking to build some momentum after their 7-2 win in Thursday’s series opener against the Dodgers, hoping to turn the tide after a rough stretch of six straight series losses going back to their series with the Phillies in April.

Reds Having Issues As The Plate Despite Win

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 43 hits, 9 home runs and 22 RBIs with 30 stolen bases along with a .277 batting average as well. Spencer Steer has a team-high 29 RBIs with 10 doubles and 11 stolen bases while Will Benson also has 10 doubles with 8 stolen bases but leads the Reds with 64 strikeouts so far this season. Jeimer Candelario also has a team-leading 11 doubles as well this season for Cincinnati.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Reds have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
  • The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds' last nine games.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Reds at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
  • The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to bounce back from their loss in Thursday’s series opener, putting their series win streak in jeopardy having not lost a series since late April against the New York Mets.

Dodgers Were Due For Off Night At The Dish

Shohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 63 hits including a team-high 12 home runs, 16 doubles and 30 RBIs with a .360 batting average while Mookie Betts has 62 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 7 homers and 28 RBIs of his own. Teoscar Hernandez also has 11 home runs with 36 RBIs and a team-high 60 strikeouts. Betts also has 8 stolen bases while Ohtani has a team-high 10 stolen bases.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Reds have lost each of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight games at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games following a road win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.

Cincinnati Reds vs LA Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. I get the case to be made for the Reds as underdogs, especially after almost covering all of the value for the upcoming games of this series with their win in Friday’s opener, but I can’t get there. The Reds have been really bad against left-handed pitching in the last few weeks and it’s been a big reason as to why this team has struggled as much as they have despite the talent within that roster. Paxton’s had control issues, but the offense just seems to back him up. Frankie Montas has had issues wherever he’s pitched this season and it’s been a lot of inconsistent play, and I think he struggles again here against a Dodgers lineup that hasn’t had many off nights this season. Give me the Dodgers.

Chris’s Pick LA Dodgers -189

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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