Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 5/17/24

St. Louis Cardinals (18-25) vs Boston Red Sox (22-21)

Game Info: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 8:15 pm (Busch Stadium)

Kyle Gibson (2-2) (3.67) vs Brayan Bello (4-1) (3.13)

Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -104 / Boston Red Sox -114 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Friday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Boston Red Sox will start Brayan Bello here and Bello is 4-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s first career start against St. Louis. The Cardinals will trot out Kyle Gibson here and Gibson is 2-2 with a 3.67 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Boston, Gibson is 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA and 21 strikeouts.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox will hope to use this series to bounce back after their 7-5 loss in Thursday’s series finale to the Tampa Bay Rays, failing to build on their series win over the Washington Nationals from last weekend.

Red Sox Inconsistent At The Plate

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 49 hits along with 9 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 6 triples and 44 strikeouts and also has 17 RBIs so far this season. Tyler O’Neill has a team-high 10 home runs and Triston Casas has 6 homers with 10 RBIs as well while Wilyer Abreu has 10 doubles. Ceddanne Rafaela also has a team-leading 23 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 36 hits with 10 doubles, 6 home runs, 16 RBIs and a .288 batting average this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last five night games following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Recap

The St. Louis Cardinals will try to build some momentum after a series win against the Los Angeles Angels despite a 7-2 loss in Wednesday’s series finale against the Halos. The win helped the Cards bounce back after series losses to the Brewers and Mets in the previous series.

Cardinals Trying To Get Back On Track After Disappointing Start

Nolan Arenado leads the Cardinals with 42 hits along with 9 doubles and a team-high 21 RBIs while Brendan Donovan has 20 RBIs with 9 doubles. Willson Contreras has a team-high 6 home runs along with 12 RBIs in addition to 11 doubles while Masyn Winn has a .281 batting average and 7 stolen bases. Paul Goldschmidt also has a team-high 59 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Cardinals' last four games at Busch Stadium.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’m leaning towards the Red Sox here. I’m just not looking to back the Cardinals in any way, shape or form until I see an extended run from this team as one series isn’t enough to erase all of the disappointment the Cardinals have put out for much of the season. The Red Sox have arguably their best pitcher going in Bello, and the Red Sox have been a lot easier to stomach backing them on the road and in interleague play. Give me Boston in this one to draw first blood.

Chris’s Pick Boston -114

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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