Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/16/24

Boston Red Sox (22-20) vs Tampa Bay Rays (21-22)

Game Info: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Cooper Criswell (2-1) (2.10) vs Zack Littell (2-2) (3.02)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -103 / Tampa Bay Rays -115 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox meet Thursday in MLB game 4 action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays look to get above a .500 record after recent wins over the White Sox and Yankees. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight games. The Tampa Bay Rays have won 7 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Isaac Paredes leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 45 hits and 23 RBI, while Yandy Diaz and Amed Rosario have combined for 86 hits and 39 RBI.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 22-21 on the season after recent losses to the Braves and Nationals. The Boston Red Sox have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 8 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 46 hits and 16 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Connor Wong have combined for 68 hits and 30 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-2 with a 3.02 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Littell has allowed 10 hits and 3 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Littell has a 2.35 ERA and .302 allowed batting average in 15.1 road innings. This will be Littell’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Cooper Criswell gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Criswell has allowed 8 hits and 3 runs in his last 9.1 innings. Criswell has a 2.76 ERA and .213 allowed batting average in 16.1 home innings. This will be Criswell’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Rays have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Red Sox have won each of their last four games at Fenway Park following a home loss.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in three of their last four games at Fenway Park following a home loss.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 19 of his last 20 appearances in night games.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last eight appearances.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six home appearances against the Rays.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 16 appearances in night games.
  • Tyler O'Neill ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (105).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (148).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (386).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank T7th in the league for strikeouts this season (372).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are probably the safer bet, given they're playing the better ball right now. However, the Boston Red Sox have the pitching edge with Cooper Criswell on the mound, and it's only a matter of time before the offense wakes up. The Red Sox can't keep struggling like this, given the talent in the lineup. Littell has done a good job of limiting the damage this season, but he does allow traffic, especially on the road. Pick 'em prices, I'll take a stab with the Red Sox at home in a much-needed rebound spot.

Randy’s Pick Boston Red Sox -103

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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