Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction MLB Picks 5/16/24

Chicago Cubs (24-19) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (19-25)

Game Info: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 7:40 pm (Wrigley Field)

Justin Steele (0-0) (4.73) vs Jared Jones (2-4) (2.68)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -127 / Pittsburgh Pirates +107 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Chicago Cubs meet Thursday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance

• The Chicago Cubs recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago Cubs

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Pirates and Cubs

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pirates vs Cubs game

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pirates are fresh off a three-game series versus the Milwaukee Brewers. Pittsburgh won the first installment of that set 8-6, but then fell 4-3 in game two. In the Wednesday finale the Pirates took a 10-2 blowout loss. Matin Perez posted 5.0 innings in the start with nine earned on 11 hits and a walk .

For the starter gig in the Thursday opener versus the Cubs, the Pirates are sending out Jared Jones. This year Jones is 2-4 with a 2.68 ERA and 56 Ks in 47.0 innings over eight starts (the first eight of his career).

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

Over on the Cubs’ side, they just finished up a three-game set of their own versus the Atlanta Braves. Chicago didn’t fare so well in the first pair, losing 2-0 Monday and 7-0 in game two. In the finale, the Cubs jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning on the way to a 7-1 win. Javier Assad put up 6.0 innings with four hits, one walk and no earned runs as starter.

As starting pitcher for Chicago on Thursday it’ll be Justin Steele. This year Steele has a 4.73 ERA without a decision through three starts. He’s got 11 Ks in 13.1 innings. Steele is 24-16 with a 3.35 ERA in 77 career games (66 starts).

Pirates vs Cubs Injury Notes

Cubs RP Adbert Alzolay underwent an MRI this week. The test confirmed that Alzolay is dealing with a strain in his right flexor.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
  • The Pirates have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Cubs' last 10 games at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded an RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Cubs as favorites.
  • Justin Steele has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Wrigley Field.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs' last 13 games against the Pirates at Wrigley Field.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs' last 13 games against the Pirates at Wrigley Field.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances at Wrigley Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ian Happ has scored at least one run in 12 of the Cubs' last 13 home games against the Pirates.
  • Justin Steele has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Cubs as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs' last four games against NL Central opponents at Wrigley Field.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Connor Joe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Connor Joe has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances.
  • Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Cubs.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one Single in five of the Pirates' last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates' last three night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago Cubs rank 10th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.317).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T21st in the league for walks allowed this season (145).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 4th in the league for walks this season (162).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank T26th in the league for runs scored this season (161).

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

I’ll probably lean toward the Pirates here. Pittsburgh should get a solid showing from Jones if all goes well. Over his last two starts Jones has been pretty good with two combined earned runs in 13.0 innings on eight hits and two walks. Jones is 0-2 in his last three outings, though.

In their finale versus the Brewers on Wednesday, the Pirates coughed up five runs in the third inning and three more in the sixth. Offensively there wasn’t much going on outside of Andrew McCutchen’s three hits, two runs and a solo homer. Pittsburgh will need a big turnaround Thursday to kick this series off with a win.

Andrew’s Pick Pittsburgh Pirates +107

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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