Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction MLB Picks 5/16/24

Houston Astros (18-25) vs Oakland Athletics (19-26)

Game Info: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Cristian Javier (2-1) (4.01) vs Joey Estes (1-0) (1.80)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -210 / Oakland Athletics +175 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate an Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 16th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:

  • The Athletics recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Astros recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Oakland
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Oakland and Houston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Oakland and Houston

Athletics are Searching for Offense 

The Oakland Athletics are 19-26 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Oakland has lost the first three games in this series and they have been out scored 14-3 in the series. Prior to this series, the Athletics lost two out of three against Seattle, lost three out of four against Texas, and won two out of three against Miami. Oakland started the season playing .500 baseball, but they have really struggled recently and they are tied for third in the AL West with Houston.

The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 170 runs with a .220 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Shea Langeliers is batting .218 with nine home runs and 24 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland is 21st in runs scored so far this season and they have scored two runs or fewer in three straight and four of their last six. The A's will face the Royals, Rockies, Astros, and Rays following this series.

Astros Continue to Heat Up 

The Houston Astros are 18-25 this year and they have won four games in a row. Houston has won the first three games in this series by scores of 9-2, 2-1, and 3-0. Prior to this series, the Astros won two out of three against Detroit, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and lost two out of three against the Mariners. Houston has won 11 of their last 17 games and they are tied for third with Oakland in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 192 runs with a .261 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Kyle Tucker is batting .279 with 13 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least four runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Joey Estes, who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.40 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. Estes allowed one earned run and two hits over 5.0 innings against Seattle in his first start. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Cristian Javier, who is 2-1 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this season. Javier has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow seven earned runs and five hits over 1.1 innings in his last start against Detroit. 

Why the Houston Astros will win

  • The Athletics have lost each of their last 10 games at Minute Maid Park against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have won each of their last nine Thursday games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Athletics.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Bregman has hit at least one home run in three of the Astros' last four home games against the Athletics.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros' last four games against the Athletics at Minute Maid Park.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
  • Cristian Javier has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Altuve has scored a run in four of the Astros' last five games as favorites.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded a Double in five of the Astros' last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Astros' last eight games.
  • Kyle Tucker ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.596) this season.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Brent Rooker has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 20 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ryan Noda has recorded at least one hit in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Astros.
  • Ryan Noda has recorded at least one total base in seven of his eight previous appearances against the Astros.
  • Ryan Noda has recorded an RBI in three of his last four road appearances against the Astros.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Athletics' last nine games as underdogs.
  • Ryan Noda has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Astros.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (174).
  • The Houston Astros rank 4th in the league for hits this season (380).
  • The Oakland Athletics rank T28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (418).
  • The Oakland Athletics rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (55).

Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup looking for the series sweep, as they try to get back into the AL West race. Oakland is heading in the wrong direction and they are looking for a win to snap this losing streak. The Athletics are dealing with quite a few injuries to their pitching staff right now, so they will start Joey Estes, who pitched well in his first start. I know Estes was sharp in his first outing, but I don’t think he will be as fortunate here. My Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros prediction is for Houston to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Astros -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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