Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/15/24

Boston Red Sox (21-20) vs Tampa Bay Rays (21-21)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 15, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Tanner Houck (3-4) (2.24) vs Taj Bradley (0-1) (1.50)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -135 / Tampa Bay Rays +115 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox meet Wednesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Tampa Bay Rays recent form and player performance

• The Boston Red Sox recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Rays and Red Sox

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Rays vs Red Sox game

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Rays took on the New York Yankees over the weekend. Tampa Bay managed a 7-2 win in the Saturday game two, but otherwise lost 2-0 and 10-6 to drop the set. Following a 5-3 win over Boston on Monday, in game two the Rays took a tough 12-innings loss 5-4. Starting pitcher Aaron Civale put up 5.0 innings with three earned runs on five hits and no walks.

In the starting pitcher role for the Wednesday matchup the Rays are going with Taj Bradley. This year Bradley has just one start, a loss with one earned in 6.0 innings. In his career Bradley is 5-9 with a 5.37 ERA in 24 games (22 starts).

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over on the Red Sox’ side, they won their weekend series versus the Washington Nationals. Boston lost 5-1 in the opener but came back for victories 4-2 and 3-2 in the weekend matchups. On Tuesday the Sox scored two runs over the final two frames in the comeback win. Nick Pivetta managed 5.2 innings with two earned on four hits and no walks as starter.

In their starter slot for the Wednesday matchup Boston will send out Tanner Houck. This year so far Houck is 3-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 50 Ks in 52.1 innings over eight starts. Houck is 18-23 with a 3.58 ERA in 82 career games (49 starts).

Rays vs Red Sox Injury Notes

Rays 2B Brandon Lowe (10-day IL) may have injured his right oblique during a rehab game on Sunday and was set to see a specialist Tuesday in Nashville.

Red Sox SP Garrett Whitlock (oblique) has another rehab start scheduled for Wednesday and could make his return to the team sometime afterward if all goes well.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Rays have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox's last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox's last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox's last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances in night games.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox's last four home games.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in four of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rays.
  • Tyler O'Neill ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Josh Lowe has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded two hits in each of his last four road appearances.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (105).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (148).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (386).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank T7th in the league for strikeouts this season (372).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll probably try the Rays. Bradley took a tough-luck loss versus the Yankees in his first start of the year, going 6.0 innings with one earned on four hits and two walks. As for Houck, he’s 0-2 in his last two outings with six earned runs combined over 13.0 innings on 12 hits and three walks.

In Tuesday’s matchup, Tampa Bay had a chance to close things out but couldn’t finish it off in the 11th frame. Randy Arozarena and Josh Lowe each had a solo homer and two runs in a pretty erratic performance by the offense. I like Wednesday’s game to be another close one; Tampa should have a pretty solid shot.

Andrew’s Pick Tampa Bay Rays +115

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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