New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB Picks 5/15/24

Philadelphia Phillies (29-13) vs New York Mets (19-21)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 15, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ranger Suarez (7-0) (1.50) vs Adrian Houser (0-3) (7.63)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -175 / New York Mets +148 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB game 3 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 19-22 this season after losses to the Rays and Braves. The New York Mets have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The New York Mets have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the New York Mets with 40 hits and 15 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have combined for 68 hits and 43 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 30-13 on the year after wins over the Blue Jays and Marlins. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 52 hits and 35 RBI, while Trea Turner and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 84 hits and 24 RBI.

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Joey Lucchesi gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he was 4-0 with a 2.89 ERA and 32 strikeouts last season. Lucchesi will make his 2024 debut after seven Triple-A starts. Lucchesi has pitched less than 50 innings in each of the last 3 seasons. Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 7-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 10 hits and 3 runs in his last 13 innings. Suarez is first in wins and WHIP (0.72), and he’s third in ERA. Suarez is 2-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won 18 of their last 19 home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies' last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies' last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Ranger Suarez ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.50) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two road games against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets' last seven road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in each of the Mets' last four night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (212).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
  • The New York Mets rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
  • The New York Mets rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (315).

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Right when it looks like the New York Mets are turning the corner, they string together some ugly losses. It's also hard to get behind Joey Lucchesi who hasn't pitched on the big league level this season and has limited reps over the last few seasons overall. The Philadelphia Phillies continue to pile up the wins and Ranger Suarez is looking more and more like a CY Young candidate. I'm not stepping in front of the Phillies. Give me the home team for another NL East victory.

Randy’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies -175

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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