Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB Picks 5/15/24

Atlanta Braves (26-13) vs Chicago Cubs (24-19)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 15, 2024 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Charlie Morton (3-0) (3.14) vs Javier Assad (3-0) (1.70)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves / Chicago Cubs --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 15th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Cubs recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Atlanta

Cubs Trying to Avoid Sweep

The Chicago Cubs are 24-19 this season and they have lost five of their last eight games. Chicago has lost the first two games in this series and they have been out scored 9-0. Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against Pittsburgh, lost two out of three against San Diego, and won two out of three against Milwaukee. Chicago is just 5-7 in their last 12 games, but they are second in the NL Central, just 1.5 games behind Milwaukee for first. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 195 runs with a .234 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Christopher Morel is batting .219 with nine home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago is 12th in runs scored so far this season, but they have been shutout in three of their last seven games.

Braves are Rolling 

The Atlanta Braves are 26-13 this year and they have won six of their last seven games. Atlanta has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-0 and 2-0. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Mets, won two games against the Red Sox, and were swept by the Dodgers. Atlanta had a tough time in their two series against the Dodgers and Mariners, but they have bounced back and are only two games behind the Phillies for first in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.29 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .227 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 192 runs with a .255 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .329 with 12 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta is fifth in team ERA and they are 13th in runs scored, as they have allowed two runs or fewer in six of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 3-0 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this year. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 3-0 with a 1.70 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 42.1 innings pitched this year. Assad has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last eight games at Truist Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a win.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves' last six games against NL opponents.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last 14 home games against NL Central opponents.
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances against the Cubs.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Braves' last nine home games against NL Central opponents.
  • Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 14 home games against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.
  • Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in five of his last 12 appearances.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in 10 of his last 13 appearances.
  • Dansby Swanson has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents at Truist Park.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (77).
  • The Atlanta Braves rank 5th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.416).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank 10th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.317).
  • The Chicago Cubs rank T21st in the league for walks allowed this season (145).

Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Chicago comes into this game trying to avoid being swept, but they are also looking for their first run of the series. The Cubs have been out scored 9-0 through two games and will be facing Charlie Morton, who has been great lately. Atlanta is 15-4 at home and they have played very well since getting swept by the Dodgers. I think we are going to have another lower scoring game here, but my Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Braves to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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