Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/14/24

Boston Red Sox (21-20) vs Tampa Bay Rays (21-21)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 14, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Nick Pivetta (1-2) (3.60) vs Aaron Civale (2-3) (5.88)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -125 / Tampa Bay Rays +105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 14th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Rays recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Boston
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Tampa Bay and Boston

Tampa Bay Offense is Heating Up

The Tampa Bay Rays are 21-21 this season and they have won seven of their last ten games. Tampa Bay won the first game in this series by a score of 5-3 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Yankees, won two out of three against the White Sox, and swept the Mets in three games. Tampa Bay didn’t play their best over the first 30 games of the season, but they are playing much better right now and are just six games out of first in the AL East.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 172 runs with a .245 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .300 with eight home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay is just 18th in runs scored this year, but they have scored at least four runs in seven of their last ten games. 

Boston Looking for Consistency 

The Boston Red Sox are 21-20 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Boston dropped the first game in this series on Monday night at home. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against Washington, lost both games against Atlanta, and lost two out of three against Minnesota. Boston has lost seven of their last ten games and they are third in the AL East behind Baltimore and New York. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 2.80 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 175 runs with a .243 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .262 with one home run and 16 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has struggled to score runs in recent contests, scoring three runs or fewer in eight of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Aaron Civale, who is 2-3 with a 5.88 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year. Civale has allowed at least five earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Nick Pivetta, who is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this year. Pivetta was sharp in his first two starts, but allowed five earned runs and seven hits over 4.0 innings against Atlanta last time out. 

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in five of the Red Sox's last six games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
  • Trevor Story has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded two or more total bases in each of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Rays.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox's last three home games.
  • Tyler O'Neill ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank T1st in the league for walks allowed this season (103).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (144).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 5th in the league for steals this season (50).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank T25th in the league for hits allowed this season (358).

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

These two teams come into this game with very similar records and they are battling for third in the AL East. Boston is just 9-11 at home, while Tampa Bay is 7-9 on the road. The Rays have played much better baseball over the last two weeks, but they are starting Civale, who has really struggled this year. Boston is going with Nick Pivetta, who has only made three starts this year. I don’t like this pitching matchup and I think both teams will have plenty of scoring chances here. My Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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