Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction MLB Picks 5/14/24

New York Mets (19-21) vs Philadelphia Phillies (29-13)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 14, 2024 at 1:10 pm (Citi Field)

Jose Butto (1-2) (3.00) vs Aaron Nola (4-2) (3.86)

Betting Odds: New York Mets +120 / Philadelphia Phillies -140 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 14th at Citi Field in New York. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Phillies recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Mets recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and New York
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Philadelphia and New York

Phillies Continue to Lead the NL East

The Philadelphia Phillies are 29-13 this season and they have won 10 of their last 12 games. Philadelphia won game one in this series by a score of 5-4 in extra innings on Monday. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against Miami, split a two game series with Toronto, and swept the Giants. Philadelphia hasn’t lost a series in their last eight and they are currently leading the NL East over the Braves. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.27 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 218 runs with a .260 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .329 with four home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has scored at least five runs in eight of their last nine games and they are second in the MLB in runs scored this season. 

Mets are Trying to Find Momentum 

The New York Mets are 19-21 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. New York lost game one in this series on Monday in extra innings. Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against Atlanta, won both games against St. Louis, and were swept by the Rays. New York has won back to back games just once in their last 20 games and they are fourth in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, and Nationals. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .222 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 172 runs with a .235 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .230 with nine home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has struggled with their pitching recently and they have allowed at least four runs in seven of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this season. Nola has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Butto, who is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 33.0 innings pitched this year. Butto has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won 11 of their last 12 games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last six Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets' last six games.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against the Phillies.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded two or more total bases in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Phillies.
  • Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in seven of the Mets' last eight Tuesday games.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets' last five games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies' last three games as favorites.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 road appearances against the Mets.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in day games.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies' last six games as favorites against the Mets.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryson Stott ranks T9th in the league in Steals (10) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (29).
  • The New York Mets rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (307).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (208).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (396).

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup as one of the best teams in the MLB so far this season and they are 14-6 on the road. New York is just 10-13 at home this year and their pitching staff has had some recent issues. This Phillies team is playing at a very high level and while I think the pitching matchup is pretty even, I have to take this Phillies offense. My Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets prediction is for Philadelphia to win. 

David’s Pick Phillies ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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