Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB Picks 5/13/24

Baltimore Orioles (26-13) vs Toronto Blue Jays (18-22)

Game Info: Monday, May 13, 2024 at 6:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Corbin Burnes (3-2) (2.83) vs Jose Berrios (4-3) (2.85)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -165 / Toronto Blue Jays +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 13th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Orioles recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Baltimore
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Toronto and Baltimore
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Toronto and Baltimore

Blue Jays Last in the AL East 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 18-22 this season and they have lost seven of their last ten games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against Minnesota, where they lost two out of three games and were out scored 16-13. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays split a two game series with Philadelphia, lost two out of three against Washington, and lost two out of three against Kansas City. Toronto has won back to back games just once in their last 19 games and they are last in the AL East, 1.5 games behind Tampa Bay. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .259 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 147 runs with a .231 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .273 with four home runs and 19 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 25th in team ERA this year and they have allowed at least five runs in six of their last nine games. 

Orioles First in the AL East 

The Baltimore Orioles are 26-13 this year and they have won seven of their last nine games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Arizona, where they won two out of three games, but did lose 9-2 in game three. Prior to that series, the Orioles split a two game series with Washington, swept the Reds, and won three out of four against the Yankees. Baltimore has not lost back to back games in their last 25 games and they are leading the AL East over New York. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.34 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 198 runs with a .246 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .271 with 12 home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is fifth in team ERA and eighth in runs scored this year, and they have allowed two runs or fewer in eight of their last twelve games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Jose Berrios, who is 4-3 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 47.1 innings pitched this season. Berrios has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow eight earned runs in his last start against Philadelphia. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this year. Burnes has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and has gone at least six innings in three straight. 

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles' last two games against the Blue Jays.
  • Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Blue Jays.
  • Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Corbin Burnes has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles' last 10 Monday games.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles' last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Austin Hays has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles' last four games against the Blue Jays.
  • James McCann has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in six of the Blue Jays' last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in 17 of his last 18 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays' last five road games.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays' last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (60).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.442).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (147).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for RBI's this season (137).

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game having a great start to the season and they have done a great job of bouncing back after a loss. The Orioles are 14-8 at home, while Toronto is just 9-13 on the road. Toronto has struggled to string wins together, but they will turn to Jose Berrios, who has been pretty good this season. Baltimore is answering with Corbin Burnes, who has been even better than Berrios. Toronto has really struggled this season and even though Berrios is on the mound, my Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for Baltimore to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Tuesday 6/25/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss