Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 5/13/24

Milwaukee Brewers (24-16) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (18-23)

Game Info: Monday, May 13, 2024 at 7:40 pm (American Family Field)

Colin Rea (3-0) (3.29) vs Mitch Keller (3-3) (4.41)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -130 / Pittsburgh Pirates +110 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Mitch Keller for the start here and Keller is 3-3 with a 4.41 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Brewers, Keller is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 30 strikeouts. The Milwaukee Brewers will be sending out Colin Rea for the start here and Rea is 3-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 25 strikeouts. In his career, Rea is 2-1 with a 6.32 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be looking to bounce back from back-to-back series losses after a 5-4 loss to the Chicago Cubs in Sunday’s series finale. That series loss followed up the series defeat to the Angels this time last week, so the Pirates will be interested in getting out to a better start in this series.

Pirates Still Scuffling At The Dish

ONeil Cruz leads the Pirates with 39 hits as well as 7 home runs with 17 RBIs while Bryan Reynolds has 37 hits with 9 doubles and 17 RBIs of his own. Connor Joe has a team-high 10 doubles with 5 home runs and a team-high 20 RBIs while Cruz has the dubious distinction of leading the Pirates with 51 strikeouts this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last four Monday games as favorites.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to start this series on the right foot after failing to complete the sweep of the Cardinals over the weekend, losing to St. Louis 4-3 in Sunday’s series finale. That series win helped to bounce back from the series loss to Kansas City to start the week last week.

Brewers Still Rolling Along At The Plate

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 54 hits including 13 doubles and 30 RBIs along with 5 home runs and a .429 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has a team-high 9 home runs with 27 RBIs and Willy Adames has 7 home runs and 27 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 16 stolen bases while Adames and Jackson Chourio has a team-high 36 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 11 night games against the Pirates at American Family Field following a loss.
  • The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine road games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. I get why one could look at the Pirates here as Mitch Keller’s been pretty solid this season, but the problem is that he’s already struggled against this Brewers lineup in his first encounter with them this season, and Keller really had issues in two starts in Milwaukee last season, allowing 12 runs in 10 innings of work. The Brewers still mash right-handed pitching despite falling short in the series finale against St. Louis and I just can’t trust this Pirates offense right now. Give me the Brew Crew to draw first blood in this series.

Chris’s Pick Milwaukee -130

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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