Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 5/12/24

Miami Marlins (10-30) vs Philadelphia Phillies (27-12)

Game Info: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 1:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Braxton Garrett (0-0) (0.00) vs Zack Wheeler (4-3) (1.64)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +197 / Philadelphia Phillies -238 --- Over/Under: 7 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

• The Philadelphia Phillies recent form and player performance

• The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

• Recent betting trends in games played between the Phillies and Marlins

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Phillies vs Marlins game

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies played a pair of games versus the Toronto Blue Jays this week. Philadelphia took a blowout 10-1 win in the Tuesday game but then took a 5-3 loss in Wednesday’s matchup. After an 8-2 win over the Marlins on Friday, in game two Philly scored four in both the sixth and eighth innings during an 8-3 win. Taijuan Walker had a nice start with 6.0 innings. one earned run, eight hits and one walk.

In the starting pitcher role for Sunday’s finale, it’ll be Zack Wheeler for Philadelphia. So far this year over eight starts Wheeler is 4-3 with a 1.64 ERA and 63 Ks in 49.1 innings. Wheeler is 91-66 with a 3.38 ERA in 235 career games.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they played three games versus the Los Angeles Dodgers this week. Miami lost all three of those matchups 6-3, 8-2 and 3-1, however. Following their Friday loss to Philly, on Saturday the Marlins showed some late life but couldn’t climb out of the deep hole. Jesus Luzardo managed 5.2 innings as starter with two earned on four hits and one walk.

It’ll be Braxton Garrett in the starting pitcher role for the Marlins on Sunday. This will be Garrett’s season debut. Over his career Garrett is 14-17 with a 3.86 ERA in 58 games (56 starts).

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins' last six Sunday games.
  • Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.
  • Braxton Garrett has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last 15 day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last 15 day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies' last three games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last nine road games against NL opponents.
  • J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in five of the Phillies' last six games as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
  • Zack Wheeler ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (63) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks this season (94).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (230).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.261).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (371).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with the Phillies. The line’s too thick to mess with, though. Wheeler is doing well these days. Over his last three starts, Wheeler has just one earned run in 18.0 total innings on 10 hits and six walks. Wheeler won all three of those outings. As for Garrett, it’ll be interesting to see what he can do in his debut. It wouldn’t be surprising to see a quality start from him either.

On Saturday the Phillies had a pretty great all-around game on 12 team hits (though they did give up 11 on the other side). Bryson Stott came up with four RBI, and overall the pitching staff did a pretty good job backing up the offense. I like Philly to close strong on Sunday.

Andrew’s Pick Philadelphia Phillies -238

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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