Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/12/24

Chicago White Sox (12-28) vs Cleveland Guardians (24-16)

Game Info: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 2:10 pm (Guaranteed Rate Field)

Michael Soroka (0-4) (6.34) vs Logan Allen (3-2) (6.41)

Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +145 / Cleveland Guardians -170 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 12th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:

  • The Guardians recent form and recent player performance 
  • The White Sox recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Chicago
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cleveland and Chicago

Guardians Staring at a Sweep 

The Cleveland Guardians are 24-16 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cleveland has lost the first three games in this series and they have allowed 12 runs. Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against Detroit, won two out of three against the Angels, and lost two out of three against Houston. Cleveland is 10th in the MLB in runs scored, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last six games. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 188 runs with a .238 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Josh Naylor is batting .275 with 11 home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland really has not played very well in their last two series, but they are right in the fight for the AL Central with Minnesota and Kansas City. 

White Sox Have Won Four Straight

The Chicago White Sox are 12-28 this year and they have won four games in a row. Chicago has won the first three games in this series by scores of 3-2, 6-3, and 3-1. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against Tampa Bay, won two out of three against St. Louis, and were swept by the Twins in three games. Chicago has won two of their last three series, but they are last in the AL Central behind the Royals, Guardians, Twins, and Tigers. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 119 runs with a .214 batting average and a .273 on base percentage. Gavin Sheets is batting .241 with three home runs and 12 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago is last in the MLB in runs scored this season, but they have scored three runs or more in six of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 3-2 with a 6.41 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 39.1 innings pitched this year. Allen has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Michael Soroka, who is 0-4 with a 6.34 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this season. Soroka has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, but did allow 10 earned runs in the previous two outings. 

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the White Sox as home underdogs against the Guardians.
  • Luis Robert has hit at least one home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Tommy Pham has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded a Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Guardians.
  • Eloy Jimenez has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the White Sox as home underdogs against the Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in each of the Guardians' last four games as favorites against the White Sox.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded an RBI in each of the Guardians' last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 18 appearances with the Guardians as favorites against the White Sox.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in each of the Guardians' last three day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians' last eight games as road favorites against the White Sox.
  • Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians' last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances with the Guardians as favorites against the White Sox.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (116).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for RBI's this season (105).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (358).
  • The Cleveland Guardians are one of only 5 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 

Cleveland had been leading the AL Central for a good portion of this young season, but they have struggled over the last week and they are now within a half game of Kansas City and Minnesota. Chicago started the year as one of the worst teams in baseball, but they have played much better over the last few weeks. I really don’t like this pitching matchup for either side, as both starters have elevated ERAs and WHIPs. My Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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