New York Mets (18-19) vs Atlanta Braves (23-12)
Game Info: Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
Luis Severino (2-2) (3.60) vs Bryce Elder (1-1) (5.28)
Betting Odds: New York Mets +102 / Atlanta Braves -120 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN
The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The Atlanta Braves recent form and player performance
• The New York Mets recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Braves and Mets
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Braves vs Mets game
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves played a pair of games versus the Boston Red Sox this past week. Atlanta did well in those matchups with wins 4-2 and 5-0. Following a 4-2 win over the Mets in the opener of their weekend series, on Saturday the Braves posted seven team hits on the way to a 4-1 win. Starter Max Fried lasted 7.0 clean frames with no hits, three walks and five Ks.
In the starting pitcher role for Sunday’s finale, Atlanta is sending out Bryce Elder. This year over his three starts Elder is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 10 Ks in 15.1 innings. Elder has a 15-9 career record with a 3.76 ERA in 44 games (43 starts).
New York Mets Betting Preview
Over on the Mets’ side, they did pretty well against the struggling St. Louis Cardinals in their early-week series. New York won both those games 4-3 and 7-5 (with one rainout). After the Friday loss, in game two the Mets gave up two runs in the third inning and couldn’t get much going at the plate outside of a late homer from JD Martinez. Christian Scott lasted 6.0 innings as starter with three earned runs on six hits and two walks.
It’ll be Luis Severino in the starting pitcher slot for the Mets on Sunday. This year so far Severino is 2-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 37 Ks in 40.0 innings over seven starts. Severino is 56-39 over his career with a 3.74 ERA in 148 games (132 starts).
Braves vs Mets Injury Notes
Braves RP Pierce Johnson (elbow) began throwing off a mound on Friday.
Mets RP Brooks Raley (elbow) is reportedly not close to throwing and will be seeing another doctor.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- J.D. Martinez has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Luis Severino has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Pete Alonso ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of the Braves' last six games at Citi Field.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 15 games against the Mets.
- Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Mets.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves' last three games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Mets rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The New York Mets rank T29th in the league for walks allowed this season (165).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (133).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (73).
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction
I’ll just stick with the Braves. Elder needs to have a bounce-back start, though. In his last outing versus the Dodgers, Elder coughed up seven earned runs on seven hits and four walks in just 3.1 innings during a loss. In his previous two starts, however, Elder managed just two earned in 12.0 innings of work. As for Severino, he’s coming off four earned in 5.0 innings during a no-decision versus the Rays.
On Saturday the Braves didn’t have the wildest day on offense, but between Michael Harris and Marcell Ozuna the team got five hits, two runs and an RBI. It was enough to overcome a pretty sketchy Mets effort at the plate. I like Atlanta to keep it up in the finale.
Andrew’s Pick Atlanta Braves -120
AUTHOR: Andrew Jett
