Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Boston Red Sox (19-18) vs Washington Nationals (18-18)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Cooper Criswell (2-1) (1.74) vs Jake Irvin (2-3) (3.72)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -154 / Washington Nationals +129 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

In this article, we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction for this MLB showdown on Saturday, May 11th at Fenway Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Nationals recent form and recent player performance 

-The Red Sox recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Washington

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston

-Recent betting trends in games played between Washington and Boston

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Nationals vs Red Sox. 

Can Nationals Go on a Run?

The Nationals come into this game with a 19-18 record overall and the pitching was good on Friday. The Nationals gave up only one run, and that was the difference. Trey Lipscomb finished with one hit and two RBIs. The Nationals are averaging 4.19 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.42 runs per game. The offense is ranked 18th in the league while the pitching is ranked 18th. They currently have a batting average of .231 which is 21st in the league. 

Abmas Has Been Strong 

CJ Abmas has hit seven home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. Luis Garcia has hit three home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. Getting the start for the Nationals will be Jake Irvin who sits with a 2-3 record and an ERA of 3.72. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went five innings giving up five hits and four runs, although zero of those runs were earned. 

The Red Sox Have Issues

The Red Sox have issues and they didn’t look good on Friday. The offense only managed one run and that led to the four run defeat. Over the last three games the Red Sox have scored only three runs total. The Red Sox are averaging 4.43 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.51 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th in the league while the pitching is ranked 3rd. They do have a postiitive run differential of 0.92 which is 8th in baseball. Connor Wong has hit five home runs and driven in 14 RBIs. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Cooper Criswell who sits with a 2-1 record adn an ERA of 1.74. In his last start against the Minnesota Twins, he went 4.1 innings giving up five hits and one run. The Red Sox will face the Rays following this series.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O'Neill has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Red Sox's last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Story has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler O'Neill has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox's last four day games.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler O'Neill ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.596) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Nationals' last four games against AL East opponents.
  • Eddie Rosario has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals' last five games.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last five day games.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in eight of his nine previous road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Eddie Rosario has recorded a Single in each of the Nationals' last five games.
  • Joey Gallo has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals' last four day games.
  • Jacob Young ranks T5th in the league in Steals (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for triples this season (10).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.79).
  • The Washington Nationals rank T1st in the league for steals this season (66).
  • The Washington Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (25).

Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are going to find success here. Cooper Criswell sits with an ERA of 1.74 and he’s going to lockdown here. In his last start he gave up only one run and he’s going to step up again here. Irvin gave up four runs in his last start and he’s going to be lit up early here by the Red Sox. Look for the Red Sox to score at least five runs, and that will be enough for a comfortable victory. Back the Red Sox on the run line. 

Shane’s Pick Boston Red Sox -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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