Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Miami Marlins (10-29) vs Philadelphia Phillies (26-12)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 pm (loanDepot park)

Jesus Luzardo (0-2) (6.58) vs Taijuan Walker (2-0) (6.39)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins / Philadelphia Phillies --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction for this MLB showdown on Saturday, May 11th at loanDepot Park. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Phillies recent form and recent player performance 

-The Marlins recent form and recent play performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami

-Recent betting trends in games played between Philadelphia and Miami

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between the Phillies and Marlins. 

Phillies Pick Up Another Win

The Phillies have played well this season and coming into this game they sit with a 27-12 record. On Friday the offense scored eight runs and that was enough for the six run victory. The Phillies are averaging 5.03 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.66 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the pitching is ranked 6th. They have a run differential of 1.37 which is 3rd in the league. Bryce Harper has hit nine home runs and driven in 28 RBIs. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Taijuan Walker who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 6.39. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants, he went 6.1 innings giving up five hits and three runs. 

Marlins Aren’t Good

The Marlins aren’t good and coming into this game they have only ten wins. On Friday the offense again struggled putting up only two hits, and that led to the six-run defeat. Josh Bell did have a hit and drove in the only two runs for the Marlins. The Marlins are averaging 3.67 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.62 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league while the pitching is ranked 29th. Their run differential is -2.03 which is 28th in baseball. They need to figure out that run differential quickly if they want to turn around their season. Bryan De La Cruz has hit eight home runs and driven in 21 RBIs. The Marlins will meet the Tigers after this series.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins' last 14 day games.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins' last 14 day games.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins' last five day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Taijuan Walker has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances at LoanDepot Park.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last eight road games against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies' last six day games.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last 14 road games.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances against the Marlins.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one Double in seven of the Phillies' last eight road games against NL opponents.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Saturday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
  • J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies' last five games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks this season (94).
  • The Miami Marlins rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (230).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.261).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (371).

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction

This total is too low. Walker hasn’t been exactly good to start to the season and even though the record is 2-0, he has been hit hard. He currently sits with an ERA of 6.39 and the Marlins offense is going to have no issue running up the score here. The Phillies offense is averaging 5.03 runs per game and they are also going to have no issue running up the score here. Back the over to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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