New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB Picks 5/11/24

Tampa Bay Rays (19-20) vs New York Yankees (26-14)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Tropicana Field)

Zack Littell (1-2) (3.00) vs Nestor Cortes (1-3) (3.72)

Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Rays +105 / New York Yankees -125 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article we will formulate a New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 11th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

  • The Yankees recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Rays recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York 
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay
  • Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Tampa Bay
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between New York and Tampa Bay

Yankees Continue to Play Well 

The New York Yankees are 26-14 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. New York won game one of this series by a score of 2-0 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against Houston, swept Detroit in three games, and lost three out of four against Baltimore. New York has won three of their last four series and they are battling with the Orioles for first in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 2.92 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 190 runs with a .250 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .325 with nine home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. 

Rays Offense is Missing 

The Tampa Bay Rays are 19-20 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, the Rays won two out of three against Chicago, swept the Mets in three games, and lost two out of three against Milwaukee. Tampa Bay has had success over the last week, but they have only scored one run in their last two games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 154 runs with a .244 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .293 with eight home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay is 22nd in team ERA, but they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nestor Cortes, who is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this year. Cortes has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, including a great start against the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zack Littell, who is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 39.0 innings pitched this season. Littell has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts and has only allowed three earned runs in his last 12.0 innings of work. 

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rays' last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Caballero ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (15) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Rizzo has hit a home run in three of the Yankees' last four games as road favorites.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Yankees' last six games against AL opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees' last seven games.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees' last 10 Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.429) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (49).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (51).
  • The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.336).
  • The New York Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (167).

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

New York was able to get a low scoring victory in game one of this series and they continue to play well on the road, going 13-8 away from home. Tampa Bay has played better in their last seven games, but scoring one run in their last two games is not good. Both of these starting pitchers have pitched well in recent outings, but I have to give the edge to Cortes and this Yankees lineup. My New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction is for the Yankees to win game two of the series. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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